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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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S&P 500 and Nasdaq Futures Steady Near Record Highs

US stock futures are holding near record-high levels as Wall Street remains bullish. Here are the key highlights:

  1. Tech-Fueled Rally Continues:

    • The S&P 500 and Nasdaq have been on a tear, driven by a tech-fueled rally.
    • Evercore ISI raised its year-end price target for the S&P 500 to 6,000, while Goldman Sachs increased its target to 5,600.
    • Last week, the S&P 500 crossed the 5,400 level for the first time.

  2. Market Catalysts:

    • After last week’s double dose of inflation reports and the Federal Reserve meeting, fewer catalysts are expected this week.
    • Wednesday’s retail sales report will provide insight into the health of the US consumer.
    • Fed policymakers may continue discussing rate cuts; Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari hinted at a possible December rate cut.

  3. Nasdaq’s “Perfect” Week:

    • The Nasdaq Composite achieved a fifth-straight record close last Friday.
    • Futures tied to the Nasdaq gained around 0.1%.

  4. Dow Jones Industrial Average:

    • Dow futures lost about 0.2%.

In summary, Wall Street remains optimistic, but investors are closely watching economic data and Fed decisions. Stay tuned for further updates!


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