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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Decision Looms, TSX Sits Near Record Highs

  Saturday, July 11, 2026 Here's what Canadians need to know heading into the week, as markets brace for the Bank of Canada's rate decision and the CUSMA trade file keeps grinding along. 1. The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and a hold is all but locked in The Bank of Canada's next rate announcement lands July 15, and virtually every economist on Bay Street expects the overnight rate to stay parked at 2.25% — what would be a sixth straight pause. A stronger-than-expected June jobs report has taken away any urgency to cut, while cooling inflation and lingering trade uncertainty argue against a hike. Expect the accompanying statement to lean on familiar language: steady as she goes. 2. June's jobs report beat expectations, and the jobless rate ticked down Statistics Canada reported employers added roughly 18,000 jobs in June, ahead of forecasts and building on May's much larger 88,000-job gain. The unemployment rate slipped to 6.5%, back to where it stood in Januar...

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S&P 500 and Nasdaq Futures Steady Near Record Highs

US stock futures are holding near record-high levels as Wall Street remains bullish. Here are the key highlights:

  1. Tech-Fueled Rally Continues:

    • The S&P 500 and Nasdaq have been on a tear, driven by a tech-fueled rally.
    • Evercore ISI raised its year-end price target for the S&P 500 to 6,000, while Goldman Sachs increased its target to 5,600.
    • Last week, the S&P 500 crossed the 5,400 level for the first time.
  2. Market Catalysts:

    • After last week’s double dose of inflation reports and the Federal Reserve meeting, fewer catalysts are expected this week.
    • Wednesday’s retail sales report will provide insight into the health of the US consumer.
    • Fed policymakers may continue discussing rate cuts; Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari hinted at a possible December rate cut.
  3. Nasdaq’s “Perfect” Week:

    • The Nasdaq Composite achieved a fifth-straight record close last Friday.
    • Futures tied to the Nasdaq gained around 0.1%.
  4. Dow Jones Industrial Average:

    • Dow futures lost about 0.2%.

In summary, Wall Street remains optimistic, but investors are closely watching economic data and Fed decisions. Stay tuned for further updates!


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