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The 4% Rule Just Dropped to 3.9% — But Your RRIF Doesn't Care

  Published August 5, 2026 Morningstar's newest research says retirees can safely start withdrawing 3.9% a year. Ottawa's RRIF rules don't ask what's "safe" — they just tell you how much to take out, whether the math agrees or not. For years, the shortcut retirees leaned on was simple: take out 4% of your portfolio in your first year of retirement, bump it up with inflation every year after, and your savings should last three decades. Morningstar's 2026 State of Retirement Income report just trimmed that number to 3.9%. On its own, that's a small adjustment. On a $500,000 portfolio, it's the difference between withdrawing $19,500 or $20,000 in year one. But for Canadians, the number that actually controls the withdrawal isn't Morningstar's — it's the Canada Revenue Agency's. And once your RRSP becomes a Registered Retirement Income Fund, the CRA's required minimum can blow right past whatever a "safe" withdrawal rate i...

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S&P 500 and Nasdaq Set to Jump as Nvidia Surge Continues


US stock indexes are poised for gains early today as Nvidia’s record-breaking surge continues. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite futures lead the way, up about 0.7%, while S&P 500 futures point up around 0.4%. This follows the S&P 500’s 31st record close of the year on Tuesday.

Nvidia’s meteoric rise has captured investors’ attention, with its stock up more than 170% so far this year. Just two weeks after dethroning Apple as the No. 2 most valuable company, Nvidia now claims the title of the world’s most valuable public company, surpassing Microsoft.

Elsewhere, global central banks are in focus, with the Swiss National Bank cutting rates for the second time this year. The Bank of England maintains its benchmark rate at a 16-year high but signals a potential rate cut in the summer. In the US, traders continue to bet on a Fed rate cut by September.

Keep an eye on weekly jobless claims data today for further insights into the macroeconomic landscape.


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