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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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S&P 500 and Nasdaq Set to Jump as Nvidia Surge Continues


US stock indexes are poised for gains early today as Nvidia’s record-breaking surge continues. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite futures lead the way, up about 0.7%, while S&P 500 futures point up around 0.4%. This follows the S&P 500’s 31st record close of the year on Tuesday.

Nvidia’s meteoric rise has captured investors’ attention, with its stock up more than 170% so far this year. Just two weeks after dethroning Apple as the No. 2 most valuable company, Nvidia now claims the title of the world’s most valuable public company, surpassing Microsoft.

Elsewhere, global central banks are in focus, with the Swiss National Bank cutting rates for the second time this year. The Bank of England maintains its benchmark rate at a 16-year high but signals a potential rate cut in the summer. In the US, traders continue to bet on a Fed rate cut by September.

Keep an eye on weekly jobless claims data today for further insights into the macroeconomic landscape.


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