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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...

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Stock Market Today: Nasdaq Surges and GameStop Skyrockets

 

In today’s stock market, the Nasdaq is leading the charge, with US futures pointing to an upbeat start for June. Here are the key highlights:

  1. Nasdaq Futures Rise: Contracts tied to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) gained 0.4%, signaling a positive start for tech stocks. The S&P 500 (ES=F) also rose by 0.2%.

  2. GameStop’s Spectacular Surge: GameStop (GME) stole the spotlight, skyrocketing over 100% in pre-market trading. A Reddit post apparently by influential trader Keith Gill (AKA “Roaring Kitty”) fueled speculation of a return to the 2021-style meme rally. Fellow meme darling AMC’s (AMC) shares also shot up over 20%.

  3. Rate Cut Hopes and Inflation Data: Investors are optimistic about rate cuts as PCE data suggests inflation may have turned a corner. The Federal Reserve’s stance will be closely watched, especially with the May jobs report and other labor prints due later this week.

  4. AI Stocks Rally: Nvidia (NVDA) shares popped after the chipmaker unveiled a new AI platform. Rival AMD (AMD) also saw gains alongside its own new AI lineup and development plans.

Overall, stocks are poised to build on their strong performance from May, where all three major gauges broke records. Keep an eye on the Fed’s path and the tech sector as we navigate the market landscape.

Remember, investing involves risks, and it’s essential to do thorough research and consider professional advice before making any financial decisions. 

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