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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Stock Market Today: US Futures Steady Ahead of Pivotal Week on Wall Street

 Certainly! Here’s a brief article on today’s stock market activity and what lies ahead on Wall Street:

                

US stock futures remained relatively unchanged on Monday as investors braced themselves for a critical week marked by key economic data releases and pivotal events. Here’s a snapshot of what’s happening:

1. Federal Reserve Decision and Inflation Data Awaited

Investors are closely monitoring the Federal Reserve’s policy decision and May’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation reading, both scheduled for Wednesday. These reports will provide crucial insights into the state of the economy and may impact market sentiment.

2. Nvidia’s Stock Split and Apple’s Developer Conference

Today, all eyes are on Nvidia (NVDA) as it undergoes a 10-for-1 stock split. Retail buyers are expected to flood in, potentially causing volatility. Meanwhile, Apple’s highly anticipated developers conference kicks off, where CEO Tim Cook is expected to unveil the company’s AI initiatives to catch up with rivals.

3. European Political Upsets Add to Uncertainty

France’s President Macron called a snap national election after a far-right trouncing in Sunday’s EU-wide vote. Germany’s leader also suffered a crushing defeat. Investors are keeping a watchful eye on potential fallout from these political developments.

4. Market Expectations and Outlook

Trader expectations for a rate cut in September have decreased, while those for November have risen. The Fed’s next rate decision will be closely watched. Despite signs of strength in the labor market, bets remain that interest rates will stay at a two-decade high for longer.

Conclusion

As Wall Street gears up for a pivotal week, the stock market remains in a delicate balance. Investors should stay informed and prepared for potential market-moving events.


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