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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Stock Market Today: US Futures Steady Ahead of Pivotal Week on Wall Street

 Certainly! Here’s a brief article on today’s stock market activity and what lies ahead on Wall Street:

                

US stock futures remained relatively unchanged on Monday as investors braced themselves for a critical week marked by key economic data releases and pivotal events. Here’s a snapshot of what’s happening:

1. Federal Reserve Decision and Inflation Data Awaited

Investors are closely monitoring the Federal Reserve’s policy decision and May’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation reading, both scheduled for Wednesday. These reports will provide crucial insights into the state of the economy and may impact market sentiment.

2. Nvidia’s Stock Split and Apple’s Developer Conference

Today, all eyes are on Nvidia (NVDA) as it undergoes a 10-for-1 stock split. Retail buyers are expected to flood in, potentially causing volatility. Meanwhile, Apple’s highly anticipated developers conference kicks off, where CEO Tim Cook is expected to unveil the company’s AI initiatives to catch up with rivals.

3. European Political Upsets Add to Uncertainty

France’s President Macron called a snap national election after a far-right trouncing in Sunday’s EU-wide vote. Germany’s leader also suffered a crushing defeat. Investors are keeping a watchful eye on potential fallout from these political developments.

4. Market Expectations and Outlook

Trader expectations for a rate cut in September have decreased, while those for November have risen. The Fed’s next rate decision will be closely watched. Despite signs of strength in the labor market, bets remain that interest rates will stay at a two-decade high for longer.

Conclusion

As Wall Street gears up for a pivotal week, the stock market remains in a delicate balance. Investors should stay informed and prepared for potential market-moving events.


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