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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...
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Stock Market Today: US Futures Steady Ahead of Pivotal Week on Wall Street

 Certainly! Here’s a brief article on today’s stock market activity and what lies ahead on Wall Street:

                

US stock futures remained relatively unchanged on Monday as investors braced themselves for a critical week marked by key economic data releases and pivotal events. Here’s a snapshot of what’s happening:

1. Federal Reserve Decision and Inflation Data Awaited

Investors are closely monitoring the Federal Reserve’s policy decision and May’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation reading, both scheduled for Wednesday. These reports will provide crucial insights into the state of the economy and may impact market sentiment.

2. Nvidia’s Stock Split and Apple’s Developer Conference

Today, all eyes are on Nvidia (NVDA) as it undergoes a 10-for-1 stock split. Retail buyers are expected to flood in, potentially causing volatility. Meanwhile, Apple’s highly anticipated developers conference kicks off, where CEO Tim Cook is expected to unveil the company’s AI initiatives to catch up with rivals.

3. European Political Upsets Add to Uncertainty

France’s President Macron called a snap national election after a far-right trouncing in Sunday’s EU-wide vote. Germany’s leader also suffered a crushing defeat. Investors are keeping a watchful eye on potential fallout from these political developments.

4. Market Expectations and Outlook

Trader expectations for a rate cut in September have decreased, while those for November have risen. The Fed’s next rate decision will be closely watched. Despite signs of strength in the labor market, bets remain that interest rates will stay at a two-decade high for longer.

Conclusion

As Wall Street gears up for a pivotal week, the stock market remains in a delicate balance. Investors should stay informed and prepared for potential market-moving events.


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