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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Tech Rally Fatigue: Nvidia’s Impact on US Stocks


The US stock market remained relatively flat today, with the benchmark S&P 500 unchanged and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite gaining 0.2%. However, this stability is notable because it follows a recent surge driven by artificial intelligence (AI) stocks, particularly Nvidia (NVDA). Nvidia briefly held the title of the world’s most valuable company this week, but today it faced a decline of over 1%. Other chip stocks, including Broadcom (AVGO), Super Micro Computer (SMCI), and Qualcomm (QCOM), also dipped alongside Nvidia.

Investors are closely monitoring the broader health of the US economy and the path for interest rates. Former St. Louis Fed president James Bullard suggested that last week’s cool Consumer Price Index reading could lead to a rate cut in September. While around two-thirds of traders still expect rate cuts to begin then, uncertainties remain.

In summary, the AI-fueled rally showed signs of fatigue today, and Nvidia’s performance played a significant role in shaping market sentiment.

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