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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...
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Tech Rally Fatigue: Nvidia’s Impact on US Stocks


The US stock market remained relatively flat today, with the benchmark S&P 500 unchanged and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite gaining 0.2%. However, this stability is notable because it follows a recent surge driven by artificial intelligence (AI) stocks, particularly Nvidia (NVDA). Nvidia briefly held the title of the world’s most valuable company this week, but today it faced a decline of over 1%. Other chip stocks, including Broadcom (AVGO), Super Micro Computer (SMCI), and Qualcomm (QCOM), also dipped alongside Nvidia.

Investors are closely monitoring the broader health of the US economy and the path for interest rates. Former St. Louis Fed president James Bullard suggested that last week’s cool Consumer Price Index reading could lead to a rate cut in September. While around two-thirds of traders still expect rate cuts to begin then, uncertainties remain.

In summary, the AI-fueled rally showed signs of fatigue today, and Nvidia’s performance played a significant role in shaping market sentiment.

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