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Markets Digest Iran Peace Progress and Fed Rate-Hike Risk — June 22, 2026

  Markets are easing into a cautious start this Monday as investors return from a long weekend — U.S. markets were closed Friday for Juneteenth — and assess a mixed backdrop: tentative optimism over U.S.–Iran peace talks, a newly hawkish Federal Reserve, and a key week of economic data and earnings ahead. Oil is steadying, the Canadian dollar is under modest pressure, and Asian markets rallied while European and U.S. futures drifted slightly lower in early trading. 🍁 Canada — TSX & the Loonie The S&P/TSX Composite Index heads into Monday trading with a cautious tone, sitting near the 34,857 level after slipping 0.32% on Thursday — the last day Canadian markets were open. Energy stocks will be in focus as oil prices stabilize following weeks of volatility tied to the U.S.–Iran conflict and the partial reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The Canadian dollar is trading at approximately 70.52 cents U.S. (CAD/USD: 0.7052), down about 0.22% on the session. The loonie remains und...
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Tech Rally Fatigue: Nvidia’s Impact on US Stocks


The US stock market remained relatively flat today, with the benchmark S&P 500 unchanged and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite gaining 0.2%. However, this stability is notable because it follows a recent surge driven by artificial intelligence (AI) stocks, particularly Nvidia (NVDA). Nvidia briefly held the title of the world’s most valuable company this week, but today it faced a decline of over 1%. Other chip stocks, including Broadcom (AVGO), Super Micro Computer (SMCI), and Qualcomm (QCOM), also dipped alongside Nvidia.

Investors are closely monitoring the broader health of the US economy and the path for interest rates. Former St. Louis Fed president James Bullard suggested that last week’s cool Consumer Price Index reading could lead to a rate cut in September. While around two-thirds of traders still expect rate cuts to begin then, uncertainties remain.

In summary, the AI-fueled rally showed signs of fatigue today, and Nvidia’s performance played a significant role in shaping market sentiment.

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