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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Tech Stocks Wobble as Micron’s Forecast Disappoints: Market Update

 

US stock futures retreated on Thursday after chipmaker Micron’s outlook put a dent in tech-rally hopes. Investors are closely watching fresh economic data ahead of an inflation reading key to Federal Reserve policy. Here are the key points:

  • Micron’s Impact: Micron’s sales forecast for the current quarter met expectations but failed to satisfy investors looking for stellar outperformance from AI-linked companies. As a result, Micron’s shares slid almost 6% in pre-market trading.

  • Tech Stocks: The bullishness around AI has helped lift the benchmark S&P 500 to a 15% gain this year. However, concerns are growing that the rally could be at risk if the handful of tech companies driving most of those gains stop topping already lofty expectations. Nvidia was down 1.6%, reviving worries of a return to the sell-off that rattled markets last week, as other AI chip stocks came under pressure.

  • Economic Data: Focus is also on updates on GDP and weekly jobless claims due before the market open. Additionally, the PCE inflation print on Friday will influence the Fed’s thinking on timing of interest-rate cuts.

  • Corporate Front: Levi Strauss shares sank over 15% in the wake of a second-quarter revenue miss for the jeans seller. Investors will look to Nike’s quarterly results after the bell for more clues to consumer resilience.

Remember to stay informed and keep an eye on market developments! 

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