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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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US Futures Rise After CPI Data, Fed Signals

 

Investors are closely watching the stock market today as US futures tiptoe higher following the release of the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. The Federal Reserve’s looming decision on interest rates adds to the anticipation.

Key Points:

  • CPI Snapshot: Economists expect the month-over-month Core CPI to have risen, providing insight into inflation trends.
  • Fed’s Stance: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has signaled that rate cuts are coming, despite inflation ticking up in February.
  • Market Reaction: S&P 500 futures climbed 0.3%, Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.6%, and Dow Jones Industrial Average futures gained 0.2%.
  • Gold Surges: The gold price surpassed $2,200 an ounce for the first time.
  • Micron Technology Soars: Micron Technology shares surged as much as 18% in premarket trading due to strong demand from AI companies.

Stay tuned for further updates as the Fed’s double whammy—CPI and interest rate decisions—unfolds.


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