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BoC Holds at 2.25%: What the Rate Decision (and Rising Gas Prices) Mean for Your Wallet

  Thursday, July 16, 2026 Sixth consecutive hold. A weaker 2026 growth forecast. And inflation that's running hotter because of gas prices, not the usual suspects. Here's what actually changes for you. The Bank of Canada held its overnight rate at 2.25% on Wednesday, exactly as markets expected. No surprise there. What's more interesting is why it held, and what it revealed about where the economy — and your bills — are headed next. This was the sixth straight hold since the Bank finished its easing cycle back in October. But buried in the accompanying Monetary Policy Report were a few numbers worth your attention. The Numbers That Matter Overnight Rate 2.25% (unchanged) Prime Rate (typical) 4.45% 2026 GDP Growth Forecast 0.7% (cut from 1.2%) 2027 / 2028 Growth Forecast 1.8% each year May CPI Inflation 3.2% Inflation Excluding Gasoline 2.2% Unemployment Rate (June) 6.5% Next Rate Decision September 2, 2026 Why Gas Prices Are Driving This Decision Here's the twist in th...
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Wall Street Leans Modestly Lower Ahead of Inflation Data

 

Wall Street opened with a slight dip today as investors eagerly await Friday’s inflation update from the government. Here are the key highlights:

  1. Corporate Earnings Digestion:

    • Markets are processing recent corporate earnings reports.
    • FedEx (FDX) surged 14.6% after beating Wall Street’s Q4 sales and profit targets.
    • Chipmaker Nvidia (NVDA) rebounded, recovering from recent losses.

  2. Inflation Update Anticipation:

    • The government’s report on inflation, closely monitored by the Federal Reserve, will influence interest rate decisions.
    • Investors hope for timely rate cuts to prevent a recession or inflation resurgence.

  3. Global Markets:

    • European markets (DAX, FTSE, CAC 40) dipped, while Japan’s Nikkei rose 1.3%.
    • Tokyo Electron and Advantest Corp. gained due to enthusiasm over Nvidia and AI.

  4. Currency Watch:

    • The dollar edged higher against the yen, nearing the 160 yen level.
    • Tokyo officials warn of potential market intervention.

Stay tuned for Friday’s crucial inflation data—the Fed’s next move hangs in the balance.


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