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Bank of Canada Rate Decision Countdown: What to Expect on July 15

  Published July 4, 2026 In eleven days, the Bank of Canada will make its fifth interest rate call of 2026. If you've got a mortgage renewing, a variable rate that moves with the Bank's decisions, or savings sitting in a high-interest account, this is the date to have circled. Here's where things stand heading into July 15, and what the smart money is expecting. Where the rate sits right now The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since its last two decisions, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The July 15 announcement, released at 9:45 a.m. ET, will also come with a full Monetary Policy Report, since the Bank publishes its detailed economic projections quarterly alongside the January, April, July, and October decisions. Why most economists expect another hold The case for standing pat comes down to two forces pulling in opposite directions: Inflation is running hot, but mostly for one reason. Canada's headline inflation rate jumped...
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Wall Street Leans Modestly Lower Ahead of Inflation Data

 

Wall Street opened with a slight dip today as investors eagerly await Friday’s inflation update from the government. Here are the key highlights:

  1. Corporate Earnings Digestion:

    • Markets are processing recent corporate earnings reports.
    • FedEx (FDX) surged 14.6% after beating Wall Street’s Q4 sales and profit targets.
    • Chipmaker Nvidia (NVDA) rebounded, recovering from recent losses.

  2. Inflation Update Anticipation:

    • The government’s report on inflation, closely monitored by the Federal Reserve, will influence interest rate decisions.
    • Investors hope for timely rate cuts to prevent a recession or inflation resurgence.

  3. Global Markets:

    • European markets (DAX, FTSE, CAC 40) dipped, while Japan’s Nikkei rose 1.3%.
    • Tokyo Electron and Advantest Corp. gained due to enthusiasm over Nvidia and AI.

  4. Currency Watch:

    • The dollar edged higher against the yen, nearing the 160 yen level.
    • Tokyo officials warn of potential market intervention.

Stay tuned for Friday’s crucial inflation data—the Fed’s next move hangs in the balance.


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