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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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Wall Street Leans Modestly Lower Ahead of Inflation Data

 

Wall Street opened with a slight dip today as investors eagerly await Friday’s inflation update from the government. Here are the key highlights:

  1. Corporate Earnings Digestion:

    • Markets are processing recent corporate earnings reports.
    • FedEx (FDX) surged 14.6% after beating Wall Street’s Q4 sales and profit targets.
    • Chipmaker Nvidia (NVDA) rebounded, recovering from recent losses.

  2. Inflation Update Anticipation:

    • The government’s report on inflation, closely monitored by the Federal Reserve, will influence interest rate decisions.
    • Investors hope for timely rate cuts to prevent a recession or inflation resurgence.

  3. Global Markets:

    • European markets (DAX, FTSE, CAC 40) dipped, while Japan’s Nikkei rose 1.3%.
    • Tokyo Electron and Advantest Corp. gained due to enthusiasm over Nvidia and AI.

  4. Currency Watch:

    • The dollar edged higher against the yen, nearing the 160 yen level.
    • Tokyo officials warn of potential market intervention.

Stay tuned for Friday’s crucial inflation data—the Fed’s next move hangs in the balance.


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