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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...

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Canadian Seniors to Receive Increased Old Age Benefits

 

Canadian seniors are set to receive a boost in their Old Age Security (OAS) benefits starting this July. The increase, which is part of a scheduled adjustment to account for inflation, will see benefits rise by 2.8% compared to the previous year.

For seniors aged 65 to 74, the maximum monthly OAS payment will now be up to $718.33. Those aged 75 and older will receive a maximum monthly payment of $790.16. These adjustments are crucial as retirement becomes increasingly unaffordable for many Canadians.

In addition to the OAS pension, eligible seniors and their partners may also qualify for extra benefits such as the Guaranteed Income Supplement (GIS), Allowance, and the Allowance for the Survivor. For single, widowed, or divorced Canadians aged 65 or older with an annual net income of less than $21,768, the maximum GIS payment per month is set at $1,072.93.

These increases aim to provide better financial support to seniors, ensuring they can maintain a decent standard of living during their retirement years.


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