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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...

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Dow Hits 40,000 for the First Time as Bull Market Accelerates

Wall Street advanced into uncharted territory on Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average topping 40,000 for the first time after a blowout earnings report from Walmart cast a positive light on the U.S. economy. The Dow rose about 0.4%, closing at a new all-time high above the 40,000 threshold. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 added about 0.3%, just below a record finish, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite gained 0.4%.

Investors are closely watching second-quarter results from major U.S. banks, including Goldman Sachs, which reported a profit surge of 150% amid investment banking strength. Additionally, BlackRock’s profit beat estimates as assets under management reached a record of $10.6 trillion.

The market’s focus also turned to the potential fallout from an assassination attempt on presidential candidate Donald Trump during a rally. Bets have increased on a win in November’s presidential election for the Republican frontrunner, who is seen as likely to cut taxes, raise trade tariffs, and ease up on regulation.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks reinforced market expectations that rate cuts will arrive as soon as September, further influencing investor sentiment. Overall, it’s a dynamic time in the markets, and the Dow’s milestone reflects the ongoing bull market.

Remember to stay informed and keep an eye on market developments!

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