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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Fundraising Halt: Biden's July Donations Take a Dive

 

In a surprising turn of events, President Joe Biden's fundraising efforts have hit a significant roadblock. Several key fundraisers for Biden's reelection campaign have been put on hold as July donations have seen a sharp decline. 

This sudden drop in financial support has raised concerns among Democratic sources involved in the events. The Biden Victory Fund has also issued a memo instructing a pause in donor calls, signaling a potential shift in campaign strategy. 

Despite these challenges, House Democrats have managed to secure a substantial fundraising haul, indicating a complex financial landscape for the party. The Biden campaign's difficulties come at a critical juncture, with the reelection team bracing for a seismic fundraising hit following a recent debate that has taken a toll on operations. 

The situation has led to a growing apprehension within the party, with some advisers and operatives expressing fears that Biden's fundraising is 'cratering' amid a slowdown in both large and small donor contributions. As the campaign navigates this financial turbulence, the implications for Biden's reelection prospects remain uncertain.

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