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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Fundraising Halt: Biden's July Donations Take a Dive

 

In a surprising turn of events, President Joe Biden's fundraising efforts have hit a significant roadblock. Several key fundraisers for Biden's reelection campaign have been put on hold as July donations have seen a sharp decline. 

This sudden drop in financial support has raised concerns among Democratic sources involved in the events. The Biden Victory Fund has also issued a memo instructing a pause in donor calls, signaling a potential shift in campaign strategy. 

Despite these challenges, House Democrats have managed to secure a substantial fundraising haul, indicating a complex financial landscape for the party. The Biden campaign's difficulties come at a critical juncture, with the reelection team bracing for a seismic fundraising hit following a recent debate that has taken a toll on operations. 

The situation has led to a growing apprehension within the party, with some advisers and operatives expressing fears that Biden's fundraising is 'cratering' amid a slowdown in both large and small donor contributions. As the campaign navigates this financial turbulence, the implications for Biden's reelection prospects remain uncertain.

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