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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Global IT Outage Sends Dow Futures Tumbling

                                             

The stock market faced turbulence today as Dow futures slipped following a massive global IT outage. This unprecedented disruption affected various sectors, including travel, finance, and healthcare, causing significant operational challenges worldwide.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell by 0.2%, reflecting investor concerns over the outage’s impact. The S&P 500 futures saw a slight increase of 0.1%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 futures edged up by 0.2%.

The outage, linked to a botched update from cybersecurity firm CrowdStrike, led to widespread disruptions. Flights were grounded, banks experienced service interruptions, and media companies faced broadcasting issues. Although CrowdStrike has implemented a fix, the fallout continues to affect global markets.

Investors are now closely monitoring the situation, hoping for stability as the fix takes effect. The market’s reaction underscores the vulnerability of global systems to IT disruptions and the far-reaching consequences of such events.


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