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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Investigation Continues in Trump Assassination Attempt Case

 

After conducting over 100 interviews, searching the suspect’s home and vehicle, and gaining access to his cellphone, FBI investigators are still searching for the motive behind the 20-year-old Pennsylvania man’s attempt to assassinate former President Donald Trump. 

The Pennsylvania State Police clarified that they were not responsible for securing the area where the gunman opened fire from a rooftop during a campaign rally in Butler Township, Pennsylvania. The FBI is investigating whether the shooter was a politically motivated domestic violent extremist, and they continue to analyze his electronic devices.

Additionally, the Department of Homeland Security has warned about the potential for “follow-on” or “retaliatory” acts in response to this assassination attempt. The investigation is ongoing, and authorities are focusing on understanding what drove the suspect to commit such a brazen act.

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