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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Investigation Continues in Trump Assassination Attempt Case

 

After conducting over 100 interviews, searching the suspect’s home and vehicle, and gaining access to his cellphone, FBI investigators are still searching for the motive behind the 20-year-old Pennsylvania man’s attempt to assassinate former President Donald Trump. 

The Pennsylvania State Police clarified that they were not responsible for securing the area where the gunman opened fire from a rooftop during a campaign rally in Butler Township, Pennsylvania. The FBI is investigating whether the shooter was a politically motivated domestic violent extremist, and they continue to analyze his electronic devices.

Additionally, the Department of Homeland Security has warned about the potential for “follow-on” or “retaliatory” acts in response to this assassination attempt. The investigation is ongoing, and authorities are focusing on understanding what drove the suspect to commit such a brazen act.

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