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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Macron refuses French PM’s resignation after chaotic election results

 


In a decisive move following the tumultuous legislative elections, French President Emmanuel Macron has declined the resignation of Prime Minister Gabriel Attal. The decision comes amidst a fragmented election outcome that saw no single party secure a majority, leading to a potential political deadlock.

Macron's refusal is seen as an effort to maintain governmental stability during this critical period, especially with the Paris Olympics on the horizon. The president's request for Attal to stay on reflects a strategic choice to navigate through the legislative impasse and uphold the continuity of governance. 

This development marks a significant moment in French politics, as the nation grapples with the implications of a divided parliament and the challenges it poses to future policymaking. The unfolding scenario underscores the complexities of coalition politics and the intricate balance of power within the French political system.


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