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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Macron refuses French PM’s resignation after chaotic election results

 


In a decisive move following the tumultuous legislative elections, French President Emmanuel Macron has declined the resignation of Prime Minister Gabriel Attal. The decision comes amidst a fragmented election outcome that saw no single party secure a majority, leading to a potential political deadlock.

Macron's refusal is seen as an effort to maintain governmental stability during this critical period, especially with the Paris Olympics on the horizon. The president's request for Attal to stay on reflects a strategic choice to navigate through the legislative impasse and uphold the continuity of governance. 

This development marks a significant moment in French politics, as the nation grapples with the implications of a divided parliament and the challenges it poses to future policymaking. The unfolding scenario underscores the complexities of coalition politics and the intricate balance of power within the French political system.


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