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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Macron refuses French PM’s resignation after chaotic election results

 


In a decisive move following the tumultuous legislative elections, French President Emmanuel Macron has declined the resignation of Prime Minister Gabriel Attal. The decision comes amidst a fragmented election outcome that saw no single party secure a majority, leading to a potential political deadlock.

Macron's refusal is seen as an effort to maintain governmental stability during this critical period, especially with the Paris Olympics on the horizon. The president's request for Attal to stay on reflects a strategic choice to navigate through the legislative impasse and uphold the continuity of governance. 

This development marks a significant moment in French politics, as the nation grapples with the implications of a divided parliament and the challenges it poses to future policymaking. The unfolding scenario underscores the complexities of coalition politics and the intricate balance of power within the French political system.


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