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Bank of Canada Holds at 2.25% — What the Fine Print Means for You

  July 15, 2026  |  Canadian Money Brief The Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25% today, exactly as every economist surveyed expected. The number didn't move — but the story underneath it did. Between renewed oil-market chaos, a stubbornly hot inflation reading, and an economy that's finally showing signs of life, this "boring" hold decision was anything but simple. If you've been following our preview piece from earlier this week , this is the follow-up: what actually happened, and what it means for your mortgage, your savings, and your grocery bill. The Decision, in Plain English This marks the sixth consecutive hold since the Bank's last cut back in October 2025. The overnight rate stays at 2.25%, the Bank Rate at 2.5%, and the deposit rate at 2.20%. Bank prime — the number that actually determines your variable mortgage or line of credit rate — stays put at 4.45%. Governor Tiff Macklem has described this level as sitting near the bottom of the Bank...

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Market Cautious as Jobs Data Looms

                                           

US stock futures retreated today as investors cautiously weighed rate-cut odds ahead of crucial jobs data.

 Dow Jones Industrial Average futures (YM=F) and S&P 500 futures (ES=F) both fell roughly 0.4%, while tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 futures (NQ=F) were down about 0.6%. 

The market is playing it safe in a week dominated by Friday’s June jobs report, and doubts are creeping in about stocks maintaining their first-half rally. Investors are also closely watching political risk, speculating on what a Trump election win could mean for markets. 

Jerome Powell’s speech and weekly job openings data will further shape expectations for interest-rate cuts.


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