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Lock In or Stay Variable? What Every Canadian Homeowner Must Decide Before April 29

   Bank of Canada headquarters, Ottawa. Overnight rate held at 2.25% since October 2025. Next decision: April 29, 2026.  The Bank of Canada has held its rate at 2.25% for three straight decisions — but with inflation creeping back up, a Middle East conflict pushing oil prices, and over one million mortgage renewals on the horizon, the stakes of getting this wrong have never been higher. The Canadian Money Brief April 25, 2026 6 min read THE CANADIAN MONEY BRIEF BANK OF CANADA 2.25% 2.25% POLICY RATE HELD SINCE OCT. 2025 · THIRD CONSECUTIVE HOLD NEXT DECISION: APR. 29, 2026 If your mortgage is coming up for renewal in the next six to eighteen months, the question keeping you up at night is probably this: do I lock in a fixed rate now — or do I ride out a variable rate and hope the Bank of Canada does something helpful? It's the right question to be asking. And right now, the answer is more complicated — and more consequential — than it has been in years. The Bank of Canada...

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Market Cautious as Jobs Data Looms

                                           

US stock futures retreated today as investors cautiously weighed rate-cut odds ahead of crucial jobs data.

 Dow Jones Industrial Average futures (YM=F) and S&P 500 futures (ES=F) both fell roughly 0.4%, while tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 futures (NQ=F) were down about 0.6%. 

The market is playing it safe in a week dominated by Friday’s June jobs report, and doubts are creeping in about stocks maintaining their first-half rally. Investors are also closely watching political risk, speculating on what a Trump election win could mean for markets. 

Jerome Powell’s speech and weekly job openings data will further shape expectations for interest-rate cuts.


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