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Big Bank Earnings Are In: What They Reveal About Your Mortgage Stress

  August 26, 2026 Canada's biggest banks are in the middle of reporting Q3 2026 results, and so far the headline numbers look strong. BMO and Scotiabank both beat analyst estimates this week, and National Bank of Canada reported this morning. RBC, TD, and CIBC follow Thursday, closing out the sector's earnings season. But the number that actually matters to most Canadians isn't profit — it's what the banks are setting aside for loans that might go bad, and what they're saying about who's struggling to keep up. That's where the picture gets more interesting than the headlines suggest. The headline numbers BMO kicked off the week with adjusted profit up 22% year-over-year and return on equity climbing to 14%, with the bank reiterating its target of 15% ROE by the end of fiscal 2027. Scotiabank posted what CEO Scott Thomson called a record quarter: net income of $3 billion, up 21% year-over-year, with adjusted ROE hitting 14.2% — clearing the bank's own med...

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Market Surge After Trump Rally Incident

 

Following the recent incident at a Pennsylvania rally where former President Donald Trump was shot in the ear, financial markets experienced notable movements. Here are the key highlights:

  1. Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) Shares Surge:

    • Shares of Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG), the parent company of social media platform Truth Social, soared by 67% in premarket trading. Trump owns a majority stake in TMTG, which was worth about $3.8 billion as of June 25, 2024.
    • The surge in TMTG stock reflects investors’ anticipation that Trump’s odds of winning the election have risen following the assassination attempt.
    • Retail traders have been betting on a Trump victory, and this recent incident further fueled their confidence.
  2. Crypto Stocks React:

    • The intersection between political events and crypto price movements became evident. The Solana memecoin TRUMP (MAGA) surged by 42% within minutes of the news breaking, while Bitcoin climbed past the $59,000 mark.
    • Trump’s crypto-friendly stance has contributed to the positive sentiment in the crypto market.
    • Crypto exchange Coinbase Global, bitcoin miners Riot Platforms Inc, and Marathon Digital also saw gains of 6% to 7%.
  3. Other Market Reactions:

    • The broader US market remained subdued, with futures tied to the S&P 500 edging up by 0.4%.
    • Gun maker Smith & Wesson Brands gained 2.7%, as gun stocks tend to rise after mass shootings.
    • Prison stocks Geo Group and CoreCivic rose about 7%, potentially benefiting from Trump’s promised crackdown on illegal immigration.
    • Software developer Phunware and video-sharing platform Rumble also saw significant increases in their stock prices.

While these market movements reflect the immediate impact of the incident, it’s essential to keep an eye on further developments as the US election campaign continues. 





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