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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Market Surge After Trump Rally Incident

 

Following the recent incident at a Pennsylvania rally where former President Donald Trump was shot in the ear, financial markets experienced notable movements. Here are the key highlights:

  1. Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) Shares Surge:

    • Shares of Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG), the parent company of social media platform Truth Social, soared by 67% in premarket trading. Trump owns a majority stake in TMTG, which was worth about $3.8 billion as of June 25, 2024.
    • The surge in TMTG stock reflects investors’ anticipation that Trump’s odds of winning the election have risen following the assassination attempt.
    • Retail traders have been betting on a Trump victory, and this recent incident further fueled their confidence.

  2. Crypto Stocks React:

    • The intersection between political events and crypto price movements became evident. The Solana memecoin TRUMP (MAGA) surged by 42% within minutes of the news breaking, while Bitcoin climbed past the $59,000 mark.
    • Trump’s crypto-friendly stance has contributed to the positive sentiment in the crypto market.
    • Crypto exchange Coinbase Global, bitcoin miners Riot Platforms Inc, and Marathon Digital also saw gains of 6% to 7%.

  3. Other Market Reactions:

    • The broader US market remained subdued, with futures tied to the S&P 500 edging up by 0.4%.
    • Gun maker Smith & Wesson Brands gained 2.7%, as gun stocks tend to rise after mass shootings.
    • Prison stocks Geo Group and CoreCivic rose about 7%, potentially benefiting from Trump’s promised crackdown on illegal immigration.
    • Software developer Phunware and video-sharing platform Rumble also saw significant increases in their stock prices.

While these market movements reflect the immediate impact of the incident, it’s essential to keep an eye on further developments as the US election campaign continues. 





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