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U.S. Midterms Tuesday: What the Vote Could Mean for the Loonie, Tariffs and Your Portfolio

  Canadian Money Brief | Feature U.S. Midterms Tuesday: What the Vote Could Mean for the Loonie, Tariffs and Your Portfolio By MoneySavings.ca | Published November 1, 2026 Americans vote Tuesday in elections that will fill all 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats. Canadians don't get a ballot, but we do get the consequences: a loonie that swung from an 18-month low to a six-week high in about two weeks, a tariff fight that has put 50% duties on roughly US$20 billion of our exports, and a lot of U.S. stock sitting inside our TFSAs and RRSPs. Here is how to think about all of it without trying to guess the winner. The short version: Nobody can reliably trade an election result. Forecasters lean toward Democrats winning the House, with the Senate closer. But history says the bigger market moves tend to come in the months after the vote, not on election night. For Canadians, the useful steps are practical: convert U.S. dollars in pieces, know how much U.S. stock you hold, and don't...
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Market Surge After Trump Rally Incident

 

Following the recent incident at a Pennsylvania rally where former President Donald Trump was shot in the ear, financial markets experienced notable movements. Here are the key highlights:

  1. Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) Shares Surge:

    • Shares of Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG), the parent company of social media platform Truth Social, soared by 67% in premarket trading. Trump owns a majority stake in TMTG, which was worth about $3.8 billion as of June 25, 2024.
    • The surge in TMTG stock reflects investors’ anticipation that Trump’s odds of winning the election have risen following the assassination attempt.
    • Retail traders have been betting on a Trump victory, and this recent incident further fueled their confidence.

  2. Crypto Stocks React:

    • The intersection between political events and crypto price movements became evident. The Solana memecoin TRUMP (MAGA) surged by 42% within minutes of the news breaking, while Bitcoin climbed past the $59,000 mark.
    • Trump’s crypto-friendly stance has contributed to the positive sentiment in the crypto market.
    • Crypto exchange Coinbase Global, bitcoin miners Riot Platforms Inc, and Marathon Digital also saw gains of 6% to 7%.

  3. Other Market Reactions:

    • The broader US market remained subdued, with futures tied to the S&P 500 edging up by 0.4%.
    • Gun maker Smith & Wesson Brands gained 2.7%, as gun stocks tend to rise after mass shootings.
    • Prison stocks Geo Group and CoreCivic rose about 7%, potentially benefiting from Trump’s promised crackdown on illegal immigration.
    • Software developer Phunware and video-sharing platform Rumble also saw significant increases in their stock prices.

While these market movements reflect the immediate impact of the incident, it’s essential to keep an eye on further developments as the US election campaign continues. 





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