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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Market Surge After Trump Rally Incident

 

Following the recent incident at a Pennsylvania rally where former President Donald Trump was shot in the ear, financial markets experienced notable movements. Here are the key highlights:

  1. Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) Shares Surge:

    • Shares of Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG), the parent company of social media platform Truth Social, soared by 67% in premarket trading. Trump owns a majority stake in TMTG, which was worth about $3.8 billion as of June 25, 2024.
    • The surge in TMTG stock reflects investors’ anticipation that Trump’s odds of winning the election have risen following the assassination attempt.
    • Retail traders have been betting on a Trump victory, and this recent incident further fueled their confidence.

  2. Crypto Stocks React:

    • The intersection between political events and crypto price movements became evident. The Solana memecoin TRUMP (MAGA) surged by 42% within minutes of the news breaking, while Bitcoin climbed past the $59,000 mark.
    • Trump’s crypto-friendly stance has contributed to the positive sentiment in the crypto market.
    • Crypto exchange Coinbase Global, bitcoin miners Riot Platforms Inc, and Marathon Digital also saw gains of 6% to 7%.

  3. Other Market Reactions:

    • The broader US market remained subdued, with futures tied to the S&P 500 edging up by 0.4%.
    • Gun maker Smith & Wesson Brands gained 2.7%, as gun stocks tend to rise after mass shootings.
    • Prison stocks Geo Group and CoreCivic rose about 7%, potentially benefiting from Trump’s promised crackdown on illegal immigration.
    • Software developer Phunware and video-sharing platform Rumble also saw significant increases in their stock prices.

While these market movements reflect the immediate impact of the incident, it’s essential to keep an eye on further developments as the US election campaign continues. 





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