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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Sabotage Disrupts France’s High-Speed Rail Network Ahead of Olympics

 

France’s high-speed TGV rail network has been targeted by malicious acts, disrupting some of the nation’s busiest lines just hours before the Paris Olympics opening ceremony. The state-owned railway operator SNCF reported that arson attacks were carried out to damage their facilities. These coordinated acts of malice have affected several high-speed TGV lines to the west, north, and east of Paris, leading to cancellations and queues at Gare Montparnasse station in the city. SNCF warns that the situation could persist for at least the entire weekend while repairs are conducted. Stay tuned for live updates as authorities investigate this disruption.

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