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BoC Held Again at 2.25% — But a Rate Hike Is Now More Likely Than Not Before Year-End

  Bond markets put the odds of an October 28 hike at 57%. Here's what the big banks are forecasting, what it means for your mortgage payment, and how to think about your next move. MoneySavings.ca · September 17, 2026 The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh consecutive hold since the last cut in October 2025. On the surface, nothing changed. Below the surface, everything did. Governor Tiff Macklem's post-decision language was the most hawkish the Bank has sounded in over a year. He flagged that persistently high oil prices (Brent has since touched $107) and new U.S. tariffs — combined with Canada's own $27.6 billion retaliation list — are creating genuine upside risks to inflation. The BoC's August deliberations summary, released September 16, confirmed the Governing Council is now actively weighing a hike, not just a hold. The August CPI reading that came in on September 14 didn't settle anything: headline inflation held at ...

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Stock Market Climbs to New Heights Ahead of Powell’s Testimony

 

The stock market witnessed modest gains today, with both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite achieving new record highs. Investors are keenly anticipating Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s upcoming congressional testimony, which could provide crucial insights into the future of interest rates.

  • Modest Gains: The S&P 500 rose by 0.1%, while the Nasdaq Composite saw a 0.3% increase, marking a continuation of their upward trajectory.
  • Economic Indicators: Recent jobs reports suggest a cooling labor market, leading to increased speculation about a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September.
  • Corporate Updates: Notable movements in the corporate sector included Boeing’s guilty plea to a criminal conspiracy charge related to the 737 Max crashes, and Tesla’s shares turning positive, potentially extending its winning streak.
  • Cryptocurrency Watch: Bitcoin hovered near the $56,000 mark, maintaining its position despite recent sell-offs and the ongoing repayment process by the defunct crypto exchange Mt. Gox.

As the market landscape evolves, all eyes remain on Powell’s testimony and the forthcoming Consumer Price Index data, which could further influence investor sentiment and market dynamics.\

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