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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds Near 80%, Oil Tops US$100, Loonie Hits 5-Week High

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Saturday, October 24, 2026 The Bank of Canada is expected to raise rates on Wednesday, oil is back above US$100 and stocks slipped on AI worries. Here are the five things to know this Saturday, and what each one means for your wallet. 1 The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hike on Wednesday Markets are putting roughly an 80% chance on a quarter-point increase at the Bank of Canada’s Oct. 28 decision, which would lift the policy rate from 2.25% to 2.50%. A majority of economists polled by Reuters also expect a second hike by the end of March. The shift followed hawkish comments from Governor Tiff Macklem about a higher inflation outlook driven by oil. What it means for you Every 0.25-point increase adds about $250 a year (roughly $21 a month) for each $100,000 of prime-linked debt, such as a variable-rate mortgage or HELOC. Fixed-rate holders are not hit directly, but renewals are being priced off higher bond yields. Savers may see HISA and...
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Stock Market Climbs to New Heights Ahead of Powell’s Testimony

 

The stock market witnessed modest gains today, with both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite achieving new record highs. Investors are keenly anticipating Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s upcoming congressional testimony, which could provide crucial insights into the future of interest rates.

  • Modest Gains: The S&P 500 rose by 0.1%, while the Nasdaq Composite saw a 0.3% increase, marking a continuation of their upward trajectory.
  • Economic Indicators: Recent jobs reports suggest a cooling labor market, leading to increased speculation about a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September.
  • Corporate Updates: Notable movements in the corporate sector included Boeing’s guilty plea to a criminal conspiracy charge related to the 737 Max crashes, and Tesla’s shares turning positive, potentially extending its winning streak.
  • Cryptocurrency Watch: Bitcoin hovered near the $56,000 mark, maintaining its position despite recent sell-offs and the ongoing repayment process by the defunct crypto exchange Mt. Gox.

As the market landscape evolves, all eyes remain on Powell’s testimony and the forthcoming Consumer Price Index data, which could further influence investor sentiment and market dynamics.\

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