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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Tech Stocks Lead Market Rally as Fed Signals Potential Rate Cut

 

In a significant market rally today, stocks soared, driven by a resurgence in tech shares. Nvidia led the charge, surging 12% after a positive earnings report and favorable analyst comments. The broader market also benefited from the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold interest rates steady, with Fed Chair Jerome Powell hinting that a rate cut could be on the table for September.

The S&P 500 rose nearly 1.6%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite surged more than 2.6%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average saw a more modest gain of 0.2%. Powell’s comments provided a boost to investor sentiment, as he noted that the economy is moving closer to the point where a rate reduction might be appropriate.

Tech stocks, which had been under pressure recently, rebounded strongly. Nvidia’s impressive performance was a highlight, with the company’s shares regaining ground lost earlier in the week. Other tech giants also saw gains, contributing to the overall positive market sentiment.

In commodities, oil prices jumped following geopolitical tensions, with Brent crude rising over 4% to top $81 a barrel. Meanwhile, Meta’s stock rose more than 4% after reporting better-than-expected earnings for the second quarter,

Overall, today’s market action reflects growing optimism among investors, buoyed by the potential for a more accommodative monetary policy and strong performances from key tech companies.


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