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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds Near 80%, Oil Tops US$100, Loonie Hits 5-Week High

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Saturday, October 24, 2026 The Bank of Canada is expected to raise rates on Wednesday, oil is back above US$100 and stocks slipped on AI worries. Here are the five things to know this Saturday, and what each one means for your wallet. 1 The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hike on Wednesday Markets are putting roughly an 80% chance on a quarter-point increase at the Bank of Canada’s Oct. 28 decision, which would lift the policy rate from 2.25% to 2.50%. A majority of economists polled by Reuters also expect a second hike by the end of March. The shift followed hawkish comments from Governor Tiff Macklem about a higher inflation outlook driven by oil. What it means for you Every 0.25-point increase adds about $250 a year (roughly $21 a month) for each $100,000 of prime-linked debt, such as a variable-rate mortgage or HELOC. Fixed-rate holders are not hit directly, but renewals are being priced off higher bond yields. Savers may see HISA and...
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Tensions Escalate: Israeli Strike Claims Senior Hezbollah Commander’s Life

 

In a recent development, an Israeli strike in southern Lebanon resulted in the death of a senior Hezbollah commander. The slain official, Mohammad Naameh Nasser, also known as “Abu Naameh,” was the head of Hezbollah’s Aziz Unit—one of three regional divisions in southern Lebanon. This incident marks the highest-ranking Hezbollah figure killed since Taleb Sami Abdullah’s death in a June airstrike.

As tensions continue to simmer between Israel and Hezbollah, global diplomatic efforts are underway to prevent further escalation. The situation remains precarious, with both sides on edge. Hezbollah retaliated by launching heavy warhead rockets at Israeli military headquarters, signaling the gravity of the conflict.

Since October, Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon have claimed over 450 lives, primarily Hezbollah fighters, but also more than 80 civilians and non-combatants. On the Israeli side, 16 soldiers and 11 civilians have lost their lives. The conflict remains a delicate balance, with the potential for further escalation if a ceasefire is not achieved in the Gaza Strip.

Efforts to maintain calm and prevent an all-out war are crucial, but the situation remains highly volatile. Diplomats continue to scramble for solutions, hoping to avert a direct confrontation between Israel and Iran, which could have far-reaching consequences for the region.

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