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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds Near 80%, Oil Tops US$100, Loonie Hits 5-Week High

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Saturday, October 24, 2026 The Bank of Canada is expected to raise rates on Wednesday, oil is back above US$100 and stocks slipped on AI worries. Here are the five things to know this Saturday, and what each one means for your wallet. 1 The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hike on Wednesday Markets are putting roughly an 80% chance on a quarter-point increase at the Bank of Canada’s Oct. 28 decision, which would lift the policy rate from 2.25% to 2.50%. A majority of economists polled by Reuters also expect a second hike by the end of March. The shift followed hawkish comments from Governor Tiff Macklem about a higher inflation outlook driven by oil. What it means for you Every 0.25-point increase adds about $250 a year (roughly $21 a month) for each $100,000 of prime-linked debt, such as a variable-rate mortgage or HELOC. Fixed-rate holders are not hit directly, but renewals are being priced off higher bond yields. Savers may see HISA and...
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Tensions Rise Following Israeli Drone Strike in Lebanon

 

In the early hours of Thursday, an Israeli drone strike in eastern Lebanon resulted in the death of a prominent militant leader, Muhammed Jabara, affiliated with both Hamas and the Lebanese Islamist group al-Jamaa al-Islamiya. The strike occurred in the village of Ghazzeh, located in the Western Beqaa District, approximately 40 kilometers from the Israeli border.

Jabara, a key figure in orchestrating attacks against Israel, was targeted while driving. The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) confirmed the strike, stating that Jabara was responsible for planning and executing attacks, including rocket fire, on northern Israel. His death is seen as a significant blow to the operational capabilities of Hamas and its allies in the region.

The aftermath of the strike has heightened tensions along the Lebanon-Israel border, with increased military presence and heightened alertness on both sides. Lebanese state media reported that the strike has led to a surge in security measures and a state of heightened vigilance among militant groups.

This incident is part of a broader pattern of escalating hostilities between Israel and militant groups in Lebanon, often involving cross-border skirmishes and retaliatory attacks. The situation remains volatile, with potential implications for regional stability and security.

As the region braces for possible further escalations, international observers are calling for restraint and dialogue to prevent a full-scale conflict.



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