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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Wall Street Leans Toward Gains Ahead of Powell Testimony and Earnings Data


Wall Street is poised for gains as we enter day two of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony before Congress. Here are the key highlights:

  1. Futures Rise: Futures for the S&P 500 have climbed 0.2%, while Dow Jones Industrial Average futures edged up slightly. Investors are closely monitoring Powell’s remarks for insights into monetary policy decisions.

  2. Earnings Season: As companies report their quarterly earnings, market participants are paying attention to corporate performance. Expectations are high, and positive surprises could drive further gains.

  3. Inflation Data: The market is also keeping an eye on inflation data. Rising prices have been a concern, and any indications from Powell regarding the Fed’s stance on inflation will be closely scrutinized.

Remember, Powell’s comments can significantly impact market sentiment. Stay tuned for further updates as the day unfolds!


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