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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...

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Wall Street Leans Toward Gains Ahead of Powell Testimony and Earnings Data


Wall Street is poised for gains as we enter day two of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony before Congress. Here are the key highlights:

  1. Futures Rise: Futures for the S&P 500 have climbed 0.2%, while Dow Jones Industrial Average futures edged up slightly. Investors are closely monitoring Powell’s remarks for insights into monetary policy decisions.

  2. Earnings Season: As companies report their quarterly earnings, market participants are paying attention to corporate performance. Expectations are high, and positive surprises could drive further gains.

  3. Inflation Data: The market is also keeping an eye on inflation data. Rising prices have been a concern, and any indications from Powell regarding the Fed’s stance on inflation will be closely scrutinized.

Remember, Powell’s comments can significantly impact market sentiment. Stay tuned for further updates as the day unfolds!


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