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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Wall Street Slightly Lower as Airlines Report Earnings Ahead of GDP Data


Wall Street leaned toward losses before the opening bell today as more earnings poured in while investors awaited the latest data on how the U.S. economy fared in the second quarter. Here are the key highlights:

  • S&P 500 Futures: Fell 0.2% before the bell.
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average Futures: Close to unchanged.
  • Nasdaq: Down 0.3%.

Airlines in Focus:

  • Southwest Airlines: Tumbled early after reporting a steep drop in second-quarter profit despite higher revenue. The airline also announced it was doing away with its 50-year-old practice of open seating, opting for assigned seats and premium seating options.
  • American Airlines: Also reported earnings, and Wall Street predicts a release of earnings per share.

Additionally, Ford Motor Co. fell more than 13% in premarket trading after reporting a second-quarter net income decline due to rising warranty and recall costs.

Stay tuned for the latest GDP report, which will provide insights into the overall economic performance in Q2. Investors are closely monitoring these developments as market volatility continues.


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