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5 Things to Know Today — June 16, 2026

1 TSX Surges 1% on US-Iran Peace Deal The S&P/TSX Composite Index surged 1% to a record 35,276 on Monday following news of a preliminary US-Iran peace agreement. Bank stocks led the rally—RBC, TD, and BMO all advanced strongly—while mining shares gained as gold prices rose. Energy stocks fell sharply as oil prices sank on expectations of renewed supply flows from the Middle East. 2 Bank of Canada's Rate Hold Still in Focus Markets continue to assess the June 10 BoC decision to hold the overnight rate at 2.25%. Economists are watching for signs of inflation stability in upcoming CPI data before any potential rate cuts later this year. Fixed mortgage rates remain elevated, keeping the renewal crisis front and centre for Canadian households. 3 Canada-US Dollar Weakens Near 1.40 The Canadian dollar weakened to around 1.40 USD/CAD as the loonie remains under pressure from soft domestic growth and US trade policy uncertainty. The BoC's measured rate-hold stance is being counte...
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Canada’s Inflation Rate Falls to 2.5% in July, Lowest Since March 2021


Statistics Canada’s latest report reveals that Canada’s annual inflation rate declined to 2.5% in July. This marks the lowest rate since March 2021. The easing inflation is attributed in part to lower prices for travel and passenger vehicles.

The Bank of Canada closely monitors inflation trends, and this cooling streak may influence future monetary policy decisions. Economists predict that interest rates could be cut again in September.


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