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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Decision Looms, TSX Sits Near Record Highs

  Saturday, July 11, 2026 Here's what Canadians need to know heading into the week, as markets brace for the Bank of Canada's rate decision and the CUSMA trade file keeps grinding along. 1. The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and a hold is all but locked in The Bank of Canada's next rate announcement lands July 15, and virtually every economist on Bay Street expects the overnight rate to stay parked at 2.25% — what would be a sixth straight pause. A stronger-than-expected June jobs report has taken away any urgency to cut, while cooling inflation and lingering trade uncertainty argue against a hike. Expect the accompanying statement to lean on familiar language: steady as she goes. 2. June's jobs report beat expectations, and the jobless rate ticked down Statistics Canada reported employers added roughly 18,000 jobs in June, ahead of forecasts and building on May's much larger 88,000-job gain. The unemployment rate slipped to 6.5%, back to where it stood in Januar...

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Canada’s Inflation Rate Falls to 2.5% in July, Lowest Since March 2021


Statistics Canada’s latest report reveals that Canada’s annual inflation rate declined to 2.5% in July. This marks the lowest rate since March 2021. The easing inflation is attributed in part to lower prices for travel and passenger vehicles.

The Bank of Canada closely monitors inflation trends, and this cooling streak may influence future monetary policy decisions. Economists predict that interest rates could be cut again in September.


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