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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Global Markets Plunge Amid Tech Sell-Off and Economic Concerns

 

Global markets experienced a significant downturn today, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 index leading the decline, plummeting by 5.8%. This sharp drop follows a tech-driven retreat on Wall Street, where weak manufacturing data has raised concerns about the U.S. economy’s health and the Federal Reserve’s timing on interest rate cuts.

Investors are increasingly worried that the Fed may have missed its window to lower rates, potentially exacerbating economic slowdown risks. The anticipation of a crucial employment report has further fueled market anxiety, with futures for the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average also showing declines.

The tech sector has been particularly hard-hit, with Intel’s announcement of a 15% workforce reduction adding to the market’s woes. This move is seen as a response to intense competition from rivals like Nvidia and AMD.

In Europe, major indices followed the downward trend, with Germany’s DAX and France’s CAC 40 both recording losses. The broader impact of these economic concerns is evident as markets worldwide brace for further volatility.


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