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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...
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Israel Expands Evacuation Orders Following Deadly Strike on Gaza School Shelter

 

Increased Evacuations in Gaza: The Israeli military has broadened its evacuation orders in southern Gaza after a deadly airstrike on a school-turned-shelter in the north. The strike resulted in the deaths of at least 80 Palestinians, according to local health authorities.

Targeting Militants: Israel stated that the airstrike targeted a militant command post, killing at least 19 fighters. The military has accused Hamas and other militants of using civilian areas to launch attacks.

Humanitarian Crisis: The ongoing conflict has displaced the vast majority of Gaza’s 2.3 million residents, many of whom have sought refuge in overcrowded shelters and tent camps.

Continued Conflict: The war, which began 10 months ago, has led to significant destruction and a staggering humanitarian crisis in Gaza. The Palestinian death toll is nearing 40,000.

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