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BoC Held Again at 2.25% — But a Rate Hike Is Now More Likely Than Not Before Year-End

  Bond markets put the odds of an October 28 hike at 57%. Here's what the big banks are forecasting, what it means for your mortgage payment, and how to think about your next move. MoneySavings.ca · September 17, 2026 The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh consecutive hold since the last cut in October 2025. On the surface, nothing changed. Below the surface, everything did. Governor Tiff Macklem's post-decision language was the most hawkish the Bank has sounded in over a year. He flagged that persistently high oil prices (Brent has since touched $107) and new U.S. tariffs — combined with Canada's own $27.6 billion retaliation list — are creating genuine upside risks to inflation. The BoC's August deliberations summary, released September 16, confirmed the Governing Council is now actively weighing a hike, not just a hold. The August CPI reading that came in on September 14 didn't settle anything: headline inflation held at ...
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Israel Expands Evacuation Orders Following Deadly Strike on Gaza School Shelter

 

Increased Evacuations in Gaza: The Israeli military has broadened its evacuation orders in southern Gaza after a deadly airstrike on a school-turned-shelter in the north. The strike resulted in the deaths of at least 80 Palestinians, according to local health authorities.

Targeting Militants: Israel stated that the airstrike targeted a militant command post, killing at least 19 fighters. The military has accused Hamas and other militants of using civilian areas to launch attacks.

Humanitarian Crisis: The ongoing conflict has displaced the vast majority of Gaza’s 2.3 million residents, many of whom have sought refuge in overcrowded shelters and tent camps.

Continued Conflict: The war, which began 10 months ago, has led to significant destruction and a staggering humanitarian crisis in Gaza. The Palestinian death toll is nearing 40,000.

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