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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Israel Expands Evacuation Orders Following Deadly Strike on Gaza School Shelter

 

Increased Evacuations in Gaza: The Israeli military has broadened its evacuation orders in southern Gaza after a deadly airstrike on a school-turned-shelter in the north. The strike resulted in the deaths of at least 80 Palestinians, according to local health authorities.

Targeting Militants: Israel stated that the airstrike targeted a militant command post, killing at least 19 fighters. The military has accused Hamas and other militants of using civilian areas to launch attacks.

Humanitarian Crisis: The ongoing conflict has displaced the vast majority of Gaza’s 2.3 million residents, many of whom have sought refuge in overcrowded shelters and tent camps.

Continued Conflict: The war, which began 10 months ago, has led to significant destruction and a staggering humanitarian crisis in Gaza. The Palestinian death toll is nearing 40,000.

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