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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Israel Expands Evacuation Orders Following Deadly Strike on Gaza School Shelter

 

Increased Evacuations in Gaza: The Israeli military has broadened its evacuation orders in southern Gaza after a deadly airstrike on a school-turned-shelter in the north. The strike resulted in the deaths of at least 80 Palestinians, according to local health authorities.

Targeting Militants: Israel stated that the airstrike targeted a militant command post, killing at least 19 fighters. The military has accused Hamas and other militants of using civilian areas to launch attacks.

Humanitarian Crisis: The ongoing conflict has displaced the vast majority of Gaza’s 2.3 million residents, many of whom have sought refuge in overcrowded shelters and tent camps.

Continued Conflict: The war, which began 10 months ago, has led to significant destruction and a staggering humanitarian crisis in Gaza. The Palestinian death toll is nearing 40,000.

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