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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Stock Market Rebounds After 3-Day Slump: Nasdaq and S&P 500 Rally

 


In a dramatic turnaround, US stocks surged today, recovering from a three-day market rout that had wiped out substantial gains for 2024. Here are the key highlights:

  1. Nasdaq Leads the Charge: The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^) soared by 2.2%, marking an impressive rebound. This surge was a welcome relief after the recent sell-off.

  2. S&P 500 Bounces Back: The benchmark S&P 500 (^) followed suit, gaining around 2%. This rally helped mitigate the losses from the past three sessions and pushed year-to-date gains to approximately 11%.

  3. Dow Jones Industrial Average Jumps: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^) also participated in the recovery, rising by 1.4% (approximately 600 points).

  4. Market Concerns and the Fed: The recent volatility was triggered by fresh worries about the US economy and its labor market. Investors are closely watching the Federal Reserve, with expectations of a rate cut at the next meeting.

  5. Individual Stocks Rebound: Notable companies like Nvidia, Tesla, Microsoft, and Meta (formerly Facebook) saw gains today, contributing to the overall market recovery (^).

  6. Cryptocurrencies Rise: Despite the recent crypto sell-off, Bitcoin (BTC-USD) climbed back above $55,000, up 7% (^).

  7. Global Markets Stabilize: Japan’s Nikkei index also closed up over 10%, signaling a steadying of global markets (^).

As investors keep a close eye on the Fed’s actions, the coming days will provide crucial signals for the market’s next moves.

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