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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Stock Market Today: S&P 500 and Nasdaq Futures Point Higher Ahead of Key Inflation Data

US stock futures are showing optimism as Wall Street awaits crucial inflation data. Here are the highlights:

  • S&P 500 Futures (ES=F): Up 0.2%
  • Nasdaq Futures (NQ=F): Rose 0.3%
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average Futures (YM=F): Hovering just below the flatline.

Investors are closely monitoring economic indicators this week. Tomorrow, we’ll get the latest reading on consumer prices, followed by July’s retail sales data on Thursday. After a recent bout of volatility, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are gradually recovering toward their year-to-date highs.

In individual stock news:

  • Home Depot (HD): Shares fell after the company adjusted its outlook for comparable same-store sales.
  • Nvidia (NVDA): Gained over 1% in premarket trading, building on Monday’s 4% gain.
  • Trump Media (DJT): Shares declined further after former President Donald Trump’s return to the X platform for a live event with CEO Elon Musk.


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