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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Stock Market Today: S&P 500 and Nasdaq Futures Point Higher Ahead of Key Inflation Data

US stock futures are showing optimism as Wall Street awaits crucial inflation data. Here are the highlights:

  • S&P 500 Futures (ES=F): Up 0.2%
  • Nasdaq Futures (NQ=F): Rose 0.3%
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average Futures (YM=F): Hovering just below the flatline.

Investors are closely monitoring economic indicators this week. Tomorrow, we’ll get the latest reading on consumer prices, followed by July’s retail sales data on Thursday. After a recent bout of volatility, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are gradually recovering toward their year-to-date highs.

In individual stock news:

  • Home Depot (HD): Shares fell after the company adjusted its outlook for comparable same-store sales.
  • Nvidia (NVDA): Gained over 1% in premarket trading, building on Monday’s 4% gain.
  • Trump Media (DJT): Shares declined further after former President Donald Trump’s return to the X platform for a live event with CEO Elon Musk.


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