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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Stock Market Today: S&P 500 and Nasdaq Extend Winning Streak Ahead of Jackson Hole Symposium

US stocks continued their upward momentum today, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite both on track for their eighth consecutive daily gain. Investors are eagerly awaiting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium later this week.

Key Points:

  1. S&P 500 ( ^GSPC): The broad-market index rose 0.5%, extending its longest winning streak of the year.
  2. Nasdaq Composite ( ^IXIC): The tech-heavy index increased more than 0.5%, also aiming for an eighth consecutive session win.
  3. Dow Jones Industrial Average ( ^DJI): The Dow gained over 200 points, mirroring the positive sentiment.

Last week’s strong rally helped recover losses from an early August sell-off, as encouraging inflation and consumer spending data eased recession concerns. Confidence in a “soft landing” for the economy has grown, leading investors to focus on the magnitude of potential rate cuts by the Fed in September.

Keep an eye on Powell’s speech and the upcoming Democratic National Convention for further market insights.


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