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Monday’s CPI Could Decide Your Next Mortgage Payment

  Canada lost 68,000 jobs in September. Inflation is sitting at 3%. The Bank of Canada has to decide on October 28 which of those facts matters more, and on Monday morning one more number lands to help it choose. If you carry a variable-rate mortgage, a HELOC or a renewal this winter, that number has a price tag. Two reports pulling in opposite directions The jobs data came first. Statistics Canada reported on October 9 that employment fell by 68,000 in September, pushing the unemployment rate to 6.5% from 6.4%. It followed a drop of about 42,000 in August, which means more than half of the 181,000 jobs gained between April and July have now been wiped out. Ontario shed 20,000 positions on its own. Markets reacted within hours: the odds of a quarter-point Bank of Canada hike on October 28 dropped to roughly 25% from about 40%, according to LSEG data reported by Reuters. Inflation is telling the opposite story. The consumer price index rose 3.0% year over year in August, matching Ju...
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Stock Market Today: S&P 500 and Nasdaq Extend Winning Streak Ahead of Jackson Hole Symposium

US stocks continued their upward momentum today, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite both on track for their eighth consecutive daily gain. Investors are eagerly awaiting Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium later this week.

Key Points:

  1. S&P 500 ( ^GSPC): The broad-market index rose 0.5%, extending its longest winning streak of the year.
  2. Nasdaq Composite ( ^IXIC): The tech-heavy index increased more than 0.5%, also aiming for an eighth consecutive session win.
  3. Dow Jones Industrial Average ( ^DJI): The Dow gained over 200 points, mirroring the positive sentiment.

Last week’s strong rally helped recover losses from an early August sell-off, as encouraging inflation and consumer spending data eased recession concerns. Confidence in a “soft landing” for the economy has grown, leading investors to focus on the magnitude of potential rate cuts by the Fed in September.

Keep an eye on Powell’s speech and the upcoming Democratic National Convention for further market insights.


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