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Lock In or Stay Variable? What Every Canadian Homeowner Must Decide Before April 29

   Bank of Canada headquarters, Ottawa. Overnight rate held at 2.25% since October 2025. Next decision: April 29, 2026.  The Bank of Canada has held its rate at 2.25% for three straight decisions — but with inflation creeping back up, a Middle East conflict pushing oil prices, and over one million mortgage renewals on the horizon, the stakes of getting this wrong have never been higher. The Canadian Money Brief April 25, 2026 6 min read THE CANADIAN MONEY BRIEF BANK OF CANADA 2.25% 2.25% POLICY RATE HELD SINCE OCT. 2025 · THIRD CONSECUTIVE HOLD NEXT DECISION: APR. 29, 2026 If your mortgage is coming up for renewal in the next six to eighteen months, the question keeping you up at night is probably this: do I lock in a fixed rate now — or do I ride out a variable rate and hope the Bank of Canada does something helpful? It's the right question to be asking. And right now, the answer is more complicated — and more consequential — than it has been in years. The Bank of Canada...

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Toronto Home Sales Fall in July After June Uptick, Prices Slightly Up

 

In July, Greater Toronto area home sales experienced a month-to-month decline of 1.7%, following a surprising 3.2% rise in June. These figures, reported by the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB), broke a four-month streak of declining home deals. Despite this dip, average home prices edged up by 0.2% to reach C$1.13 million, the highest since December. Meanwhile, new listings decreased by 0.8%. 

The market’s anticipation of further rate cuts from the Bank of Canada has contributed to rising demand, with the central bank already reducing its key policy rate twice this year. As the cost of borrowing is expected to decline further, TRREB President Jennifer Pearce predicts accelerated sales due to lower monthly mortgage payments. On a year-over-year basis, sales were up by 3.28% in July, and new listings increased by 18.47%. Toronto, accounting for two-thirds of the country’s condominium sales, remains a bellwether for other major metropolitan areas.

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