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BoC Opens the Door to Rate Hikes: What It Means for Your Mortgage

  Published September 4, 2026 The Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh straight hold — but Governor Tiff Macklem didn't sound like a central banker done for the year. He told reporters the Bank is "prepared to raise interest rates, and if it takes more than one increase, we're prepared to do that," if inflation stays too high. That's a real shift in tone, and it lands right as a wave of Canadians hit their mortgage renewal date. Here's what changed, who's forecasting what, and what it actually means for your payment. Why the Bank Suddenly Sounds Hawkish Canada's annual inflation rate has climbed to around 3% — a full point above the Bank's 2% target — and the Bank is pointing squarely at energy prices. Oil has stayed elevated because of the Iran conflict and disruption near the Strait of Hormuz, pushing gas prices up and dragging headline CPI with it. Core inflation, which strips out food and energy, is still s...
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TSX Futures Slide Amid Global Market Turmoil

 

Futures linked to Canada’s main stock index took a tumble on Tuesday, echoing the brutal sell-off seen across global markets on Monday. The trigger? Recession fears in the United States.

September futures on the S&P/TSX index were down 1.8% at 6:48 a.m. ET (10:48 GMT). Investors worldwide scrambled toward safe-haven assets after weaker U.S. economic data last week raised concerns about a recession in the world’s largest economy.

While investor sentiment was partially soothed by a rebound in U.S. services sector activity and signals of rate cuts from Federal Reserve policymakers, the benchmark U.S. S&P 500 and Nasdaq both closed 3% lower on Monday.

Canadian markets were closed for a holiday, but attention remains on domestic employment figures due later this week and a host of Fed policymakers scheduled to speak throughout the month.

In corporate news, Suncor Energy and iA Financial are set to report their quarterly figures after the closing bell today.

Commodities at 6:48 a.m. ET:

  • Gold futures: $2,423 (+0.5%)
  • U.S. crude: $73.32 (+0.5%)
  • Brent crude: $76.62 (+0.4%)

Stay tuned for further updates as the market volatility continues.





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