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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds Near 80%, Oil Tops US$100, Loonie Hits 5-Week High

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Saturday, October 24, 2026 The Bank of Canada is expected to raise rates on Wednesday, oil is back above US$100 and stocks slipped on AI worries. Here are the five things to know this Saturday, and what each one means for your wallet. 1 The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hike on Wednesday Markets are putting roughly an 80% chance on a quarter-point increase at the Bank of Canada’s Oct. 28 decision, which would lift the policy rate from 2.25% to 2.50%. A majority of economists polled by Reuters also expect a second hike by the end of March. The shift followed hawkish comments from Governor Tiff Macklem about a higher inflation outlook driven by oil. What it means for you Every 0.25-point increase adds about $250 a year (roughly $21 a month) for each $100,000 of prime-linked debt, such as a variable-rate mortgage or HELOC. Fixed-rate holders are not hit directly, but renewals are being priced off higher bond yields. Savers may see HISA and...
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TSX Futures Slide Amid Global Market Turmoil

 

Futures linked to Canada’s main stock index took a tumble on Tuesday, echoing the brutal sell-off seen across global markets on Monday. The trigger? Recession fears in the United States.

September futures on the S&P/TSX index were down 1.8% at 6:48 a.m. ET (10:48 GMT). Investors worldwide scrambled toward safe-haven assets after weaker U.S. economic data last week raised concerns about a recession in the world’s largest economy.

While investor sentiment was partially soothed by a rebound in U.S. services sector activity and signals of rate cuts from Federal Reserve policymakers, the benchmark U.S. S&P 500 and Nasdaq both closed 3% lower on Monday.

Canadian markets were closed for a holiday, but attention remains on domestic employment figures due later this week and a host of Fed policymakers scheduled to speak throughout the month.

In corporate news, Suncor Energy and iA Financial are set to report their quarterly figures after the closing bell today.

Commodities at 6:48 a.m. ET:

  • Gold futures: $2,423 (+0.5%)
  • U.S. crude: $73.32 (+0.5%)
  • Brent crude: $76.62 (+0.4%)

Stay tuned for further updates as the market volatility continues.





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