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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Wall Street Ends a Volatile Week Almost Where It Started

 

After a tumultuous week that saw sharp swings and market uncertainty, Wall Street managed to claw back some losses and finish almost where it began. Here are the key takeaways:

  1. Steady Recovery: The S&P 500 index showed resilience, gaining 0.3% on Friday. This followed its best day since 2022, and it’s now close to erasing the brutal losses suffered earlier in the week.

  2. Mixed Performance: The Dow Jones Industrial Average also edged up by 25 points (0.1%), while the Nasdaq composite rose 0.2%. Both indexes are still on track for slight weekly losses.

  3. Market Factors: The Japanese yen’s sudden strengthening caused turbulence as traders scrambled out of a popular trade. Additionally, concerns about a slowing U.S. economy weighed on investor sentiment.

  4. Upcoming Reports: Next week, investors will closely watch updates on consumer spending at U.S. retailers. These reports could drive further market swings.

In summary, Wall Street weathered a stormy week, and while uncertainties remain, it’s poised for stability as we head into the next trading days. 


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