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Markets Digest Iran Peace Progress and Fed Rate-Hike Risk — June 22, 2026

  Markets are easing into a cautious start this Monday as investors return from a long weekend — U.S. markets were closed Friday for Juneteenth — and assess a mixed backdrop: tentative optimism over U.S.–Iran peace talks, a newly hawkish Federal Reserve, and a key week of economic data and earnings ahead. Oil is steadying, the Canadian dollar is under modest pressure, and Asian markets rallied while European and U.S. futures drifted slightly lower in early trading. 🍁 Canada — TSX & the Loonie The S&P/TSX Composite Index heads into Monday trading with a cautious tone, sitting near the 34,857 level after slipping 0.32% on Thursday — the last day Canadian markets were open. Energy stocks will be in focus as oil prices stabilize following weeks of volatility tied to the U.S.–Iran conflict and the partial reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The Canadian dollar is trading at approximately 70.52 cents U.S. (CAD/USD: 0.7052), down about 0.22% on the session. The loonie remains und...

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Canadian Unemployment Rate Falls to 6.5% as Job Market Surges

 

In a surprising turn of events, Canada’s labour market exceeded expectations in September, adding a net 47,000 jobs. This surge in employment led to a drop in the unemployment rate to 6.5%, according to the latest data from Statistics Canada.

This marks the first decline in the unemployment rate since January, driven primarily by significant gains in full-time employment, particularly among youth and women aged 25 to 54. The robust job growth highlights the resilience of the Canadian economy amidst global economic uncertainties.

Economists had anticipated a more modest increase in employment, making this development a positive indicator for the country’s economic health. The data suggests that sectors such as healthcare, education, and professional services saw the most significant job additions.

As Canada continues to navigate post-pandemic recovery, these employment gains provide a hopeful outlook for sustained economic growth and stability.


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