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BoC Holds at 2.25%: What the Rate Decision (and Rising Gas Prices) Mean for Your Wallet

  Thursday, July 16, 2026 Sixth consecutive hold. A weaker 2026 growth forecast. And inflation that's running hotter because of gas prices, not the usual suspects. Here's what actually changes for you. The Bank of Canada held its overnight rate at 2.25% on Wednesday, exactly as markets expected. No surprise there. What's more interesting is why it held, and what it revealed about where the economy — and your bills — are headed next. This was the sixth straight hold since the Bank finished its easing cycle back in October. But buried in the accompanying Monetary Policy Report were a few numbers worth your attention. The Numbers That Matter Overnight Rate 2.25% (unchanged) Prime Rate (typical) 4.45% 2026 GDP Growth Forecast 0.7% (cut from 1.2%) 2027 / 2028 Growth Forecast 1.8% each year May CPI Inflation 3.2% Inflation Excluding Gasoline 2.2% Unemployment Rate (June) 6.5% Next Rate Decision September 2, 2026 Why Gas Prices Are Driving This Decision Here's the twist in th...
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Canadian Unemployment Rate Falls to 6.5% as Job Market Surges

 

In a surprising turn of events, Canada’s labour market exceeded expectations in September, adding a net 47,000 jobs. This surge in employment led to a drop in the unemployment rate to 6.5%, according to the latest data from Statistics Canada.

This marks the first decline in the unemployment rate since January, driven primarily by significant gains in full-time employment, particularly among youth and women aged 25 to 54. The robust job growth highlights the resilience of the Canadian economy amidst global economic uncertainties.

Economists had anticipated a more modest increase in employment, making this development a positive indicator for the country’s economic health. The data suggests that sectors such as healthcare, education, and professional services saw the most significant job additions.

As Canada continues to navigate post-pandemic recovery, these employment gains provide a hopeful outlook for sustained economic growth and stability.


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