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Bank of Canada Rate Decision Countdown: What to Expect on July 15

  Published July 4, 2026 In eleven days, the Bank of Canada will make its fifth interest rate call of 2026. If you've got a mortgage renewing, a variable rate that moves with the Bank's decisions, or savings sitting in a high-interest account, this is the date to have circled. Here's where things stand heading into July 15, and what the smart money is expecting. Where the rate sits right now The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since its last two decisions, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The July 15 announcement, released at 9:45 a.m. ET, will also come with a full Monetary Policy Report, since the Bank publishes its detailed economic projections quarterly alongside the January, April, July, and October decisions. Why most economists expect another hold The case for standing pat comes down to two forces pulling in opposite directions: Inflation is running hot, but mostly for one reason. Canada's headline inflation rate jumped...
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Canadian Unemployment Rate Falls to 6.5% as Job Market Surges

 

In a surprising turn of events, Canada’s labour market exceeded expectations in September, adding a net 47,000 jobs. This surge in employment led to a drop in the unemployment rate to 6.5%, according to the latest data from Statistics Canada.

This marks the first decline in the unemployment rate since January, driven primarily by significant gains in full-time employment, particularly among youth and women aged 25 to 54. The robust job growth highlights the resilience of the Canadian economy amidst global economic uncertainties.

Economists had anticipated a more modest increase in employment, making this development a positive indicator for the country’s economic health. The data suggests that sectors such as healthcare, education, and professional services saw the most significant job additions.

As Canada continues to navigate post-pandemic recovery, these employment gains provide a hopeful outlook for sustained economic growth and stability.


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