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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Diplomatic Tensions Between India and Canada Worry Punjab Residents

 


The recent diplomatic spat between India and Canada has left many residents of Punjab anxious about their future plans. The expulsion of diplomats from both countries, following the murder of a Sikh separatist leader, has heightened concerns among those planning to work, study, or visit family in Canada.

Students, who heavily rely on Canadian educational institutions, fear that the strained relations could lead to stricter visa regulations and reduced opportunities. Families with relatives in Canada are also worried about potential travel restrictions and the impact on their ability to visit loved ones.

Local leaders and community members are urging both governments to de-escalate the situation and find a diplomatic resolution to avoid further disruption to the lives of ordinary citizens.

The uncertainty has cast a shadow over the aspirations of many young people in Punjab, who see Canada as a land of opportunity for higher education and better career prospects. As the situation unfolds, the hope remains that dialogue and cooperation will prevail to restore normalcy and safeguard the dreams of those affected.


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