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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Harris and Trump Neck-and-Neck as Election Day Approaches

 


With just days remaining until the 2024 U.S. presidential election, the race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump is incredibly tight. Recent polls indicate a virtual tie, with both candidates vying for crucial swing states that could determine the outcome.

In Pennsylvania, a CNN poll conducted by SSRS shows the race is tied, while a Quinnipiac University poll gives Trump a slight edge. Nationally, the latest TIPP Tracking Poll also shows both candidates at 48% support. Harris maintains a narrow lead in Michigan and Wisconsin, according to CNN polls.

Both candidates are making their final appeals to voters in key battleground states. Harris is focusing on economic issues and job creation, while Trump is emphasizing his stance on immigration and appealing to religious voters. Early voting numbers have reached unprecedented levels, with millions of Americans already casting their ballots.

As Election Day approaches, the outcome remains uncertain, with both campaigns working tirelessly to secure a victory on November 5.

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