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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...

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Israel Investigates Possible Death of Hamas Leader Yahya Sinwar

 

The Israeli military is currently investigating whether Yahya Sinwar, the leader of Hamas, was killed during recent operations in Gaza. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) reported that three militants were eliminated, but their identities have yet to be confirmed.

Sinwar, considered a key figure in Hamas, has been a significant target for Israeli forces. The IDF’s statement indicated that the possibility of Sinwar being among the deceased is being thoroughly checked, although no definitive identification has been made at this stage.

This development comes amid ongoing tensions and conflict in the region, with both sides experiencing significant casualties. The potential death of Sinwar could have substantial implications for the dynamics of the conflict and the leadership structure within Hamas.

The situation remains fluid, and further updates are expected as the IDF continues its verification process.


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