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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Poland Thwarts Explosive Plot Targeting Canada and U.S.

 

Authorities in Poland have arrested four individuals in connection with an alleged plot to send explosives to Canada and the United States. The suspects were reportedly planning to use courier services to mail the dangerous materials, which were camouflaged to avoid detection.

The National Prosecutor’s Office in Poland revealed that the arrests were made following a detailed investigation into the group’s activities. The parcels, which contained explosives and other hazardous materials, were intercepted before they could be dispatched.

The Royal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP) have acknowledged the arrests but have refrained from commenting further to maintain the integrity of the ongoing investigation. This incident highlights the importance of international cooperation in preventing acts of terrorism and ensuring public safety.

Authorities are continuing their investigation to determine the full extent of the plot and any additional individuals involved.


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