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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Poland Thwarts Explosive Plot Targeting Canada and U.S.

 

Authorities in Poland have arrested four individuals in connection with an alleged plot to send explosives to Canada and the United States. The suspects were reportedly planning to use courier services to mail the dangerous materials, which were camouflaged to avoid detection.

The National Prosecutor’s Office in Poland revealed that the arrests were made following a detailed investigation into the group’s activities. The parcels, which contained explosives and other hazardous materials, were intercepted before they could be dispatched.

The Royal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP) have acknowledged the arrests but have refrained from commenting further to maintain the integrity of the ongoing investigation. This incident highlights the importance of international cooperation in preventing acts of terrorism and ensuring public safety.

Authorities are continuing their investigation to determine the full extent of the plot and any additional individuals involved.


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