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Markets Digest Iran Peace Progress and Fed Rate-Hike Risk — June 22, 2026

  Markets are easing into a cautious start this Monday as investors return from a long weekend — U.S. markets were closed Friday for Juneteenth — and assess a mixed backdrop: tentative optimism over U.S.–Iran peace talks, a newly hawkish Federal Reserve, and a key week of economic data and earnings ahead. Oil is steadying, the Canadian dollar is under modest pressure, and Asian markets rallied while European and U.S. futures drifted slightly lower in early trading. 🍁 Canada — TSX & the Loonie The S&P/TSX Composite Index heads into Monday trading with a cautious tone, sitting near the 34,857 level after slipping 0.32% on Thursday — the last day Canadian markets were open. Energy stocks will be in focus as oil prices stabilize following weeks of volatility tied to the U.S.–Iran conflict and the partial reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The Canadian dollar is trading at approximately 70.52 cents U.S. (CAD/USD: 0.7052), down about 0.22% on the session. The loonie remains und...
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Tensions Escalate as Iran Warns Israel Against Retaliation

 

On October 17, Iran issued a stern warning to Israel against any retaliatory actions following a recent missile barrage. This warning comes as Israel intensifies its military operations in Lebanon, targeting the Tehran-backed Hezbollah.

The commander of Iran’s Revolutionary Guards emphasized that any Israeli attack would be met with a stronger response, highlighting the fragile and volatile nature of the current situation. This development follows a series of escalations, including a significant missile attack by Iran on October 1, which has further strained relations between the two nations.

As both sides prepare for potential further conflict, the international community watches closely, concerned about the broader implications for regional stability.


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