5 Things to Know Today: July 9, 2026
Thursday, July 9, 2026 Your quick morning briefing on the Canadian money news that matters. 1. Bank of Canada widely expected to hold rates on July 15 With just a week to go before the Bank of Canada's next rate announcement, markets and economists are almost unanimous: the overnight rate should stay parked at 2.25%, where it's been since October 2025. The Bank is caught between two problems that pull in opposite directions — a soft economy that would normally call for a cut, and inflation running near 2.8-3% (partly due to elevated oil prices) that argues against one. Bond markets are pricing in only a small chance of any move at all. If you're carrying a variable-rate mortgage or HELOC, don't expect relief just yet, but don't expect an increase either. The Bank's updated quarterly Monetary Policy Report, out the same day, will be worth watching for hints about the fall. 2. CUSMA shifts to annual reviews after the deadline quietly passed July 1 came and wen...
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