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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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U.S. Probes Leak of Classified Documents on Israel’s Attack Plans

 

The United States government has launched an investigation into the unauthorized release of highly classified documents detailing Israel’s plans to attack Iran. These documents, marked as top secret, were posted on the Telegram messaging app and first reported by CNN and Axios.

The leaked documents provide a detailed assessment of Israel’s military strategies and capabilities, including sensitive information that suggests Israel possesses nuclear weapons. The authenticity of the documents has been confirmed by multiple U.S. officials, who have expressed concern over the potential implications of this breach.

The investigation aims to identify the source of the leak and assess the potential damage to national security and international relations. This incident underscores the ongoing challenges in safeguarding classified information in the digital age.

If you have any questions or need further details, feel free to ask!

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