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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Anxiety and Dismay Inside the Justice Department After Trump Taps Gaetz as Attorney General

 

President-elect Donald Trump's decision to nominate Congressman Matt Gaetz as Attorney General has sent shockwaves through the Justice Department. Gaetz, known for his staunch loyalty to Trump and his controversial past, including a federal sex trafficking investigation, has raised significant concerns among career lawyers and officials within the department.

Many Justice Department employees are worried about the future of the agency under Gaetz's leadership, given his lack of experience in law enforcement and his outspoken criticism of the department. Gaetz has previously called the Justice Department "corrupt and highly political" and has suggested abolishing agencies like the FBI and the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives.

Trump's choice of Gaetz is seen as a move to "shake the whole thing and throw a grenade into DOJ," according to former U.S. Attorney John Fishwick Jr. The nomination has left many within the department stunned and outraged, with some already considering looking for new jobs.

As Gaetz prepares to take on this new role, the Justice Department faces a period of uncertainty and potential upheaval, reflecting the broader political and legal challenges that lie ahead for the Trump administration.

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