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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds Near 80%, Oil Tops US$100, Loonie Hits 5-Week High

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Saturday, October 24, 2026 The Bank of Canada is expected to raise rates on Wednesday, oil is back above US$100 and stocks slipped on AI worries. Here are the five things to know this Saturday, and what each one means for your wallet. 1 The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hike on Wednesday Markets are putting roughly an 80% chance on a quarter-point increase at the Bank of Canada’s Oct. 28 decision, which would lift the policy rate from 2.25% to 2.50%. A majority of economists polled by Reuters also expect a second hike by the end of March. The shift followed hawkish comments from Governor Tiff Macklem about a higher inflation outlook driven by oil. What it means for you Every 0.25-point increase adds about $250 a year (roughly $21 a month) for each $100,000 of prime-linked debt, such as a variable-rate mortgage or HELOC. Fixed-rate holders are not hit directly, but renewals are being priced off higher bond yields. Savers may see HISA and...
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Canada Post Strike Threatens to Derail Critical Holiday Season for Retailers

 

As the holiday season approaches, a strike by over 55,000 Canada Post workers threatens to disrupt deliveries across the country. The Canadian Union of Postal Workers (CUPW) initiated the strike after failed negotiations with the Crown corporation over wages, working conditions, and other issues.

The timing couldn't be worse for retailers, who rely heavily on timely deliveries during this peak shopping period. With mail and parcels not being processed or delivered, businesses are scrambling to find alternative shipping solutions. Rural and remote communities, which depend solely on Canada Post, are expected to be hit the hardest.

While the strike has caused significant concern, Canada Post has assured that government benefit cheques, such as Old Age Security and the Canada Child Benefit, will still be delivered during the strike. However, the overall impact on retailers and consumers remains uncertain, and the situation is being closely monitored as the holiday season kicks into full gear.

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