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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Canada Post Workers Begin Nationwide Strike, Disrupting Deliveries

 


Canada Post workers have initiated a nationwide strike today, following a breakdown in negotiations with their employer. The Canadian Union of Postal Workers (CUPW) announced that approximately 55,000 postal workers are participating in the strike, which began at 12:01 a.m. Eastern Time.

The strike comes after nearly a year of bargaining with little progress on key issues such as fair wages, safer working conditions, and job security. The union had issued a 72-hour strike notice earlier this week, but efforts to reach a negotiated agreement failed.

Canada Post has warned that the strike will significantly disrupt mail and parcel deliveries, especially with the busy holiday season approaching. The Crown corporation stated that mail and parcels will not be processed or delivered during the strike, and some post offices will be closed.

The federal government has appointed a special mediator to assist in the negotiations, but as of now, there is no resolution in sight.

The strike is expected to have a widespread impact on Canadians and businesses relying on postal services for their operations and holiday preparations.


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