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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Canada Post Workers Begin Nationwide Strike, Disrupting Deliveries

 


Canada Post workers have initiated a nationwide strike today, following a breakdown in negotiations with their employer. The Canadian Union of Postal Workers (CUPW) announced that approximately 55,000 postal workers are participating in the strike, which began at 12:01 a.m. Eastern Time.

The strike comes after nearly a year of bargaining with little progress on key issues such as fair wages, safer working conditions, and job security. The union had issued a 72-hour strike notice earlier this week, but efforts to reach a negotiated agreement failed.

Canada Post has warned that the strike will significantly disrupt mail and parcel deliveries, especially with the busy holiday season approaching. The Crown corporation stated that mail and parcels will not be processed or delivered during the strike, and some post offices will be closed.

The federal government has appointed a special mediator to assist in the negotiations, but as of now, there is no resolution in sight.

The strike is expected to have a widespread impact on Canadians and businesses relying on postal services for their operations and holiday preparations.


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