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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...

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Market Rebound Expected as Amazon’s Earnings Boost Investor Sentiment

 

The stock market is showing signs of recovery today, with futures on the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 rising by 0.5% and 0.4%, respectively. This positive movement comes after a challenging period marked by significant losses following earnings reports from major tech companies like Meta and Microsoft.

Amazon’s strong earnings report has been a key driver of this rebound. The company’s shares surged over 6% in premarket trading after CEO Andy Jassy highlighted impressive growth in their cloud unit’s AI business. Intel also contributed to the positive sentiment with an earnings beat and optimistic outlook, further boosting investor confidence.

However, the market’s trajectory could be influenced by the upcoming jobs report, which is expected to show a slowdown in nonfarm payroll growth. This report is crucial as it will provide insights into the labor market and potentially impact Federal Reserve policy decisions.

In addition to the tech sector’s performance, other factors such as rising oil prices and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are also playing a role in shaping market dynamics.

Investors will be closely watching the jobs report and other economic indicators to gauge the market’s direction in the coming days.



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