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BoC Held Again at 2.25% — But a Rate Hike Is Now More Likely Than Not Before Year-End

  Bond markets put the odds of an October 28 hike at 57%. Here's what the big banks are forecasting, what it means for your mortgage payment, and how to think about your next move. MoneySavings.ca · September 17, 2026 The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh consecutive hold since the last cut in October 2025. On the surface, nothing changed. Below the surface, everything did. Governor Tiff Macklem's post-decision language was the most hawkish the Bank has sounded in over a year. He flagged that persistently high oil prices (Brent has since touched $107) and new U.S. tariffs — combined with Canada's own $27.6 billion retaliation list — are creating genuine upside risks to inflation. The BoC's August deliberations summary, released September 16, confirmed the Governing Council is now actively weighing a hike, not just a hold. The August CPI reading that came in on September 14 didn't settle anything: headline inflation held at ...
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Market Rebound Expected as Amazon’s Earnings Boost Investor Sentiment

 

The stock market is showing signs of recovery today, with futures on the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 rising by 0.5% and 0.4%, respectively. This positive movement comes after a challenging period marked by significant losses following earnings reports from major tech companies like Meta and Microsoft.

Amazon’s strong earnings report has been a key driver of this rebound. The company’s shares surged over 6% in premarket trading after CEO Andy Jassy highlighted impressive growth in their cloud unit’s AI business. Intel also contributed to the positive sentiment with an earnings beat and optimistic outlook, further boosting investor confidence.

However, the market’s trajectory could be influenced by the upcoming jobs report, which is expected to show a slowdown in nonfarm payroll growth. This report is crucial as it will provide insights into the labor market and potentially impact Federal Reserve policy decisions.

In addition to the tech sector’s performance, other factors such as rising oil prices and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are also playing a role in shaping market dynamics.

Investors will be closely watching the jobs report and other economic indicators to gauge the market’s direction in the coming days.



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