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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Market Rebound Expected as Amazon’s Earnings Boost Investor Sentiment

 

The stock market is showing signs of recovery today, with futures on the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 rising by 0.5% and 0.4%, respectively. This positive movement comes after a challenging period marked by significant losses following earnings reports from major tech companies like Meta and Microsoft.

Amazon’s strong earnings report has been a key driver of this rebound. The company’s shares surged over 6% in premarket trading after CEO Andy Jassy highlighted impressive growth in their cloud unit’s AI business. Intel also contributed to the positive sentiment with an earnings beat and optimistic outlook, further boosting investor confidence.

However, the market’s trajectory could be influenced by the upcoming jobs report, which is expected to show a slowdown in nonfarm payroll growth. This report is crucial as it will provide insights into the labor market and potentially impact Federal Reserve policy decisions.

In addition to the tech sector’s performance, other factors such as rising oil prices and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are also playing a role in shaping market dynamics.

Investors will be closely watching the jobs report and other economic indicators to gauge the market’s direction in the coming days.



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