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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...

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Market Rebound Expected as Amazon’s Earnings Boost Investor Sentiment

 

The stock market is showing signs of recovery today, with futures on the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 rising by 0.5% and 0.4%, respectively. This positive movement comes after a challenging period marked by significant losses following earnings reports from major tech companies like Meta and Microsoft.

Amazon’s strong earnings report has been a key driver of this rebound. The company’s shares surged over 6% in premarket trading after CEO Andy Jassy highlighted impressive growth in their cloud unit’s AI business. Intel also contributed to the positive sentiment with an earnings beat and optimistic outlook, further boosting investor confidence.

However, the market’s trajectory could be influenced by the upcoming jobs report, which is expected to show a slowdown in nonfarm payroll growth. This report is crucial as it will provide insights into the labor market and potentially impact Federal Reserve policy decisions.

In addition to the tech sector’s performance, other factors such as rising oil prices and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are also playing a role in shaping market dynamics.

Investors will be closely watching the jobs report and other economic indicators to gauge the market’s direction in the coming days.



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