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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Market Rebound Expected as Amazon’s Earnings Boost Investor Sentiment

 

The stock market is showing signs of recovery today, with futures on the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 rising by 0.5% and 0.4%, respectively. This positive movement comes after a challenging period marked by significant losses following earnings reports from major tech companies like Meta and Microsoft.

Amazon’s strong earnings report has been a key driver of this rebound. The company’s shares surged over 6% in premarket trading after CEO Andy Jassy highlighted impressive growth in their cloud unit’s AI business. Intel also contributed to the positive sentiment with an earnings beat and optimistic outlook, further boosting investor confidence.

However, the market’s trajectory could be influenced by the upcoming jobs report, which is expected to show a slowdown in nonfarm payroll growth. This report is crucial as it will provide insights into the labor market and potentially impact Federal Reserve policy decisions.

In addition to the tech sector’s performance, other factors such as rising oil prices and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are also playing a role in shaping market dynamics.

Investors will be closely watching the jobs report and other economic indicators to gauge the market’s direction in the coming days.



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