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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Market Surge Continues: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq Rally as Bitcoin Hits Record High

 

The stock market continued its impressive rally today, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite all posting gains. Investors remain optimistic following recent economic developments and policy changes.

Key Highlights:

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: Up approximately 0.6%, leading the charge among major indices.
  • S&P 500: Increased by 0.3%, continuing its upward trajectory.
  • Nasdaq Composite: Also rose by 0.3%, driven by strong performances in the tech sector.

Adding to the market’s exuberance, Bitcoin surged past $82,000 for the first time, reflecting growing confidence in the cryptocurrency market. This milestone comes amid high hopes for a more crypto-friendly regulatory environment.

Investors are now looking ahead to upcoming consumer inflation data, which could provide further insights into the Federal Reserve’s future policy moves. The recent rate cut by the Fed has already fueled market optimism, but concerns about potential inflationary pressures remain.

Overall, the market’s positive momentum shows no signs of slowing down, with both traditional stocks and cryptocurrencies benefiting from the current economic climate.


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