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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...

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Moscow Warns U.S. Over Ukraine’s Use of Long-Range Weapons

 

In a significant escalation of tensions, Moscow has issued a stern warning to the United States following President Joe Biden’s authorization for Ukraine to use long-range ATACMS missiles to strike targets inside Russia. This decision marks a notable shift in U.S. policy, allowing Ukraine to extend its military reach beyond its borders.

The move comes amid ongoing conflict and heightened geopolitical tensions, with Russia expressing grave concerns over what it perceives as a direct threat to its national security. Russian officials have cautioned that this authorization could lead to a broader conflict, potentially drawing NATO into a more direct confrontation with Russia.

The U.S. decision follows extensive lobbying by Ukrainian officials, who argue that the ability to target strategic locations within Russia is crucial for their defense efforts. The authorization is seen as a response to recent developments, including North Korea’s reported support for Russia by sending troops to the region.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has remained measured in his public statements, emphasizing that actions will speak louder than words. Meanwhile, the international community watches closely, concerned about the potential for further escalation in an already volatile situation.


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