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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...

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Moscow Warns U.S. Over Ukraine’s Use of Long-Range Weapons

 

In a significant escalation of tensions, Moscow has issued a stern warning to the United States following President Joe Biden’s authorization for Ukraine to use long-range ATACMS missiles to strike targets inside Russia. This decision marks a notable shift in U.S. policy, allowing Ukraine to extend its military reach beyond its borders.

The move comes amid ongoing conflict and heightened geopolitical tensions, with Russia expressing grave concerns over what it perceives as a direct threat to its national security. Russian officials have cautioned that this authorization could lead to a broader conflict, potentially drawing NATO into a more direct confrontation with Russia.

The U.S. decision follows extensive lobbying by Ukrainian officials, who argue that the ability to target strategic locations within Russia is crucial for their defense efforts. The authorization is seen as a response to recent developments, including North Korea’s reported support for Russia by sending troops to the region.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has remained measured in his public statements, emphasizing that actions will speak louder than words. Meanwhile, the international community watches closely, concerned about the potential for further escalation in an already volatile situation.


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