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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Trump Selects Ex-Soros Fund Manager Scott Bessent as Treasury Secretary

 

Former President Donald Trump has named Scott Bessent, a former chief investment officer for George Soros’s fund management, as his choice for Treasury Secretary in his 2024 presidential campaign’s proposed Cabinet. The unconventional pick has raised eyebrows among both Trump loyalists and critics, given Bessent’s past association with the billionaire financier frequently criticized by Trump and conservative circles.

Bessent, who later founded Key Square Group, a successful hedge fund, is widely regarded as a savvy investor with deep expertise in global markets. Trump’s campaign praised Bessent’s financial acumen, citing his ability to navigate complex economic landscapes and his potential to steer U.S. economic policy effectively.

While some Trump allies have expressed concerns over Bessent’s ties to Soros, others see the appointment as a strategic move to bring proven financial expertise to the administration. “Scott’s track record speaks for itself,” a Trump campaign spokesperson said, “and his knowledge of global markets will be invaluable in revitalizing the American economy.”

Critics, however, have questioned whether Bessent’s Wall Street background aligns with Trump’s populist rhetoric and his "America First" economic agenda.

If confirmed, Bessent would take on significant challenges, including managing inflation, addressing debt concerns, and navigating the ongoing shifts in global trade dynamics.


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