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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds Near 80%, Oil Tops US$100, Loonie Hits 5-Week High

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Saturday, October 24, 2026 The Bank of Canada is expected to raise rates on Wednesday, oil is back above US$100 and stocks slipped on AI worries. Here are the five things to know this Saturday, and what each one means for your wallet. 1 The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hike on Wednesday Markets are putting roughly an 80% chance on a quarter-point increase at the Bank of Canada’s Oct. 28 decision, which would lift the policy rate from 2.25% to 2.50%. A majority of economists polled by Reuters also expect a second hike by the end of March. The shift followed hawkish comments from Governor Tiff Macklem about a higher inflation outlook driven by oil. What it means for you Every 0.25-point increase adds about $250 a year (roughly $21 a month) for each $100,000 of prime-linked debt, such as a variable-rate mortgage or HELOC. Fixed-rate holders are not hit directly, but renewals are being priced off higher bond yields. Savers may see HISA and...
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Trump's Appointees Criticize Trudeau and Canada's Border Security

In the wake of President-elect Donald Trump's victory, his appointees have been vocal in their criticism of Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and the country's border security measures. As Trump begins to fill key positions in his administration, many of his most loyal supporters, now landing top jobs, have expressed concerns about Canada's policies.

Mike Waltz, Trump's pick for national security adviser, has repeatedly criticized Trudeau on social media, particularly regarding his handling of issues related to China. Waltz has also commented on the upcoming Canadian election, predicting that Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre will "send Trudeau packing in 2025" and start addressing what he calls the "progressive mess" in Canada.

Elise Stefanik, Trump's choice for ambassador to the United Nations, has also raised alarms about security at the Canadian border. As a member of the Northern Border Security Caucus, Stefanik has called for increased measures to combat human and drug trafficking, claiming that dangerous illegal immigrants are crossing the northern border in record numbers.

These criticisms highlight the potential for strained relations between the U.S. and Canada as Trump's administration takes shape. With key appointees focusing on border security and foreign policy, the future of Canada-U.S. relations remains uncertain.

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