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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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U.S. Embassy in Kyiv Closes Amid Warnings of Significant Russian Air Attack

 

In a precautionary move, the U.S. Embassy in Kyiv has temporarily closed its doors following warnings of a potentially significant Russian air attack. The embassy issued a statement advising employees to shelter in place and recommended that U.S. citizens in Kyiv be prepared to take immediate shelter if an air alert is announced.

This closure comes amid heightened tensions after the U.S. authorized the use of longer-range missiles by Ukraine, which were reportedly used in a recent attack on a Russian weapons warehouse. The Kremlin has responded with threats of retaliation, further escalating the conflict that has already seen frequent missile and drone attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure.

The embassy’s warning is notable for its specificity, as air attacks have become a near-daily occurrence in Ukraine. However, the recent developments have added a new layer of urgency and caution to the situation.


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