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Canada Is In a Recession — What It Means for Your Money

It's official. Canada has entered a technical recession for the first time since 2020 — and it happened faster than almost any economist predicted. Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that the economy shrank for a second consecutive quarter, with Q1 2026 posting a 0.1% annualized contraction, following a 1.0% drop in Q4 2025. Forecasters had been expecting 1.5% growth . The surprise is significant. So what does this actually mean for everyday Canadians? Your job, your mortgage, your savings, your debt — we break it all down. −0.1% Q1 2026 GDP (annualized) −1.0% Q4 2025 GDP (revised down) 2.25% Bank of Canada overnight rate 2.8% Canada inflation rate (April) "Most businesses are basically in a holding pattern, treading water, hoping for brighter days." — Dan Kelly, President, Canadian Federation of Independent Business 📉 Wait — Is This Really a Recession? The term "technical recession" means two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth on an annualized basi...
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U.S. Futures Edge Higher Amid Trump Rally and Anticipation of Fed’s Rate Decision

 

U.S. stock futures are showing modest gains following a significant rally sparked by Donald Trump’s return to the presidency. Investors are now keenly awaiting the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decision.

Market Reaction:

The markets have reacted positively to Trump’s victory, with expectations of lower corporate taxes and deregulation driving the rally. The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all saw substantial gains, with the Dow E-minis up 82 points (0.18%), S&P 500 E-minis up 11.5 points (0.19%), and Nasdaq 100 E-minis up 49 points (0.23%) in premarket trading.

Federal Reserve’s Decision:

Traders are largely anticipating a 25-basis point rate cut from the Federal Reserve. The central bank’s policy statement will be closely scrutinized for any indications of future monetary easing. The market’s focus is also on whether the Republican party will maintain control of the House of Representatives, which could further influence economic policies.

Investor Sentiment:

Investor sentiment remains cautiously optimistic. While some stocks that surged post-election have given back gains, others like Qualcomm have continued to perform well. The VIX, Wall Street’s “fear gauge,” is trading at a six-week low, indicating reduced market volatility.

As the day progresses, all eyes will be on the Federal Reserve’s announcement and its potential impact on the markets.


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