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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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U.S. Futures Edge Higher Amid Trump Rally and Anticipation of Fed’s Rate Decision

 

U.S. stock futures are showing modest gains following a significant rally sparked by Donald Trump’s return to the presidency. Investors are now keenly awaiting the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decision.

Market Reaction:

The markets have reacted positively to Trump’s victory, with expectations of lower corporate taxes and deregulation driving the rally. The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all saw substantial gains, with the Dow E-minis up 82 points (0.18%), S&P 500 E-minis up 11.5 points (0.19%), and Nasdaq 100 E-minis up 49 points (0.23%) in premarket trading.

Federal Reserve’s Decision:

Traders are largely anticipating a 25-basis point rate cut from the Federal Reserve. The central bank’s policy statement will be closely scrutinized for any indications of future monetary easing. The market’s focus is also on whether the Republican party will maintain control of the House of Representatives, which could further influence economic policies.

Investor Sentiment:

Investor sentiment remains cautiously optimistic. While some stocks that surged post-election have given back gains, others like Qualcomm have continued to perform well. The VIX, Wall Street’s “fear gauge,” is trading at a six-week low, indicating reduced market volatility.

As the day progresses, all eyes will be on the Federal Reserve’s announcement and its potential impact on the markets.


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